WHO/Europe’s governing board decides to hold virtual Regional Committee
WHO/Europe’s governing board decides to hold virtual Regional Committee

Members of the Standing Committee of the Regional Committee (SCRC) met on 18 May 2021 to agree on the agenda for the upcoming 71st session of the WHO Regional Committee for Europe.

Drawing lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic, rethinking health- and social-care systems in the post-COVID era, and renewing the focus on primary health care will be among the key agenda topics for the session in September 2021.

Member State delegations will also consider the progress made in the first year of the European Programme of Work 2020–2025, and will be invited to formally launch 2 of its flagships: the European Immunization Agenda 2030 and the Mental Health Coalition.

During the meeting this week, the SCRC also decided that the 71st session should be held virtually for a second year running, in order to ensure equal participation by all 53 Member States. After the plenary on 13–15 September, additional online events and briefings will be held on 16–17 September.

Solidarity and equity remain in focus

During the meeting, Dr Hans Henri P. Kluge, WHO Regional Director for Europe, briefed SCRC members on WHO/Europe’s recent activities. Following up on the SCRC’s call for international solidarity and multilateral cooperation in a joint statement in March 2021, Dr Kluge highlighted the COVAX rollout, through which more than 1 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine have been delivered to 14 countries and territories in the WHO European Region in recent weeks. He also reported on his recent missions to countries in central Asia, central Europe and the Western Balkans.

The Regional Director emphasized the need to maintain a dual-track focus in health work: addressing COVID-19 while taking action on other health priorities and essential services. In that respect, he mentioned the opening of the WHO Athens Quality of Care Office in Greece in April 2021, and the launch of the One Health Coordination Mechanism for Europe and central Asia a week later, as some noteworthy examples of improvement, investment and solidarity.

Recommendations of the Pan-European Commission

The final recommendations of the Pan-European Commission on Health and Sustainable Development, established in 2020 to rethink policy priorities in the light of pandemics, will also be discussed at the upcoming Regional Committee session.

In response to a briefing by Professor Mario Monti, the Commission’s Chair, members of the SCRC expressed support for the idea of creating a Pan-European Health Security Council at the level of heads of state.

SPIEGEL involved Merkel and Borissov in a scheme to supply low-quality masks from Bulgaria
SPIEGEL involved Merkel and Borissov in a scheme to supply low-quality masks from Bulgaria

The German army has ordered protective clothing from Bulgaria for hundreds of thousands of euros, which is of poor quality, but about which Chancellor Angela Merkel seems to have personally spoken to then-Prime Minister Boyko Borissov.

This is what SPIEGEL magazine says in an investigation indicating how the company Venera Style from Haskovo received an offer for such products, although until then it only made clothing. At the beginning of the pandemic, however, Venus offered to deliver two-layer masks – 85% cotton, 15% elastane – to Germany in the spring of 2020.

The publication comes months after the start of a massive scandal over the supply of substandard masks, which accused Merkel’s allies of corruption and put her party – the Christian Democrats – at a disadvantage on the eve of the parliamentary elections.

This is presented as remarkable at a time when Bulgaria needs them as much as Germany and has even imposed an export ban.

“Then why is Bulgaria sending masks to Germany?” The publication asks. And second, this business enjoys the highest level of support, such as that of Chancellor Angela Merkel, Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karenbauer and others, such as the chair of the Armed Forces Procurement Service. Kramp-Karenbauer is even preparing his personal assistant to board a plane to take samples from Sofia.

The Bundeswehr makes quick purchases, although the goods are questionable, as is their quality. “Letters received from SPIEGEL mention political reasons several times.” Protective suits are also sent to the Bundeswehr’s nuclear, biological and chemical weapons protection department.

“Commands from above”

Here SPIEGEL draws attention to the direction of commands “from above” – ​​”not Bulgarian suppliers send their goods to Germany to be inspected, and the personal assistant of the Minister must take samples along with a team ready to fly to Bulgaria.

The next day. “The office and the ministry did not even comment on how much the flight cost or why the issue was so” politically important “- people familiar with the case say such a thing has never happened before.

It turns out that at a time when the Ministry of Health is flooded with proposals for masks and in violation of the procedure under which the Bundeswehr usually places orders. In addition, the production from Bulgaria does not have any identification marks or quality certificates.

In addition, samples show that the products are of poor quality; the conclusion is even that the user of the masks is not protected. It is the same with suits that can only be washed at a temperature of 30 to 40 degrees, which is not enough to eliminate viruses, and therefore can only be used once. However, the procurement service was activated and the process was declared “highly political”. A request is made to conclude the largest possible contract with Bulgarian companies to meet the needs of the army.

This includes orders small for Germany but serious for the clothing company Venus, covered by three contracts for six days: 200,000 masks for 246,000 euros. Another 11,000 protective suits are ordered from other manufacturers, despite obvious doubts about the quality.

Subsequent delivery of samples of suits and visors in April is also of poor quality, without certificates; a license is issued for limited use, the visors – for single use.

“But why are Bulgarian contracts so important in Berlin? The office is silent; talks with international partners are confidential,” SPIEGEL wrote. The magazine asked if the federal government should not have at least checked which companies were involved, especially if they were from a country that is the latest in the EU in the Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index.

Borissov and the companies in the scheme deny any allegations. In the Bundeswehr, however, protective suits are practically in stock, as are visors – some of these goods are not applicable for medical purposes, others may even be dangerous to consumers.

Q&A: COVID-19 variants and what they mean for countries and individuals
Q&A: COVID-19 variants and what they mean for countries and individuals

We spoke to Dr Richard Pebody, who leads the High-threat Pathogen team at WHO/Europe, to find out more about why the COVID-19 virus changes, what implications this has for public health, and what you as an individual can do to help and to stay safe.

Why do viruses change?

“First of all, I’d like to say that all viruses, including the COVID-19 virus, change over time as a natural phenomenon. Having said that, new variants of concern continue to challenge our pandemic response.

“When a virus replicates or makes copies of itself as it spreads, the virus genome (the set of genetic instructions for the organism) often changes a little bit. These changes are called mutations, and are usually not significant. A virus with one or several new mutations is referred to as a variant of the original virus.

“The more viruses circulate, the more they may change. These changes can occasionally result in a virus variant that is better suited to its environment than the original virus. This process of changing and selection of successful variants is called virus evolution.”

Why are some variants of COVID-19 causing more concern than others?

“WHO and its partners have been closely following the changes in SARS-CoV-2 (the COVID-19 virus) since January 2020. Most changes have had little to no impact on the virus’s properties; however, some are now known to affect, for instance, transmission (for example, the virus may spread more easily) or severity (for example, it may cause more severe disease).

“Systems have been set up to detect the various signals of potential variants of concern and to assess these based on the risks they pose to global public health. WHO is tracking these variants across the world.”

What are the main variants of concern at the moment and where are they spreading?

“There are currently 4 main variants of concern that continue to be detected and monitored in an increasing number of countries and territories around the world.

“The most prevalent variant currently circulating in the WHO European Region is SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7. This variant was first detected in the United Kingdom and has now spread widely to many countries in the Region and elsewhere. Two other variants of concern have also been found in South Africa and Brazil.

“On 11 May 2021, the B.1.617 (the variant originally identified in India) lineage of viruses was also added to the list of WHO- classified global variants of concern. Since their first detection in October 2020, there have been reports of these variants in countries throughout the world, with the largest number of cases detected in India, followed by the United Kingdom (where the sub-lineage B.1.617.2 has been designated a national variant of concern).”

Are we likely to see many more variants? Is this concerning?

“As COVID-19 continues to spread, we will see more variants emerge. Most of these will be inconsequential; however, it is possible that we will see further variants that are more transmissible or cause more severe illness.

“WHO and its partners have sophisticated surveillance systems in place to identify new variants, track their spread and assess their severity.”

How exactly are new variants identified and tracked?

“Since the start of the outbreak, WHO has been working with a worldwide network of expert laboratories to support testing and gain a better understanding of the COVID-19 virus.

“Research groups have sequenced the virus variants – meaning that they have ‘read’ the genetic code that makes up the genome – and shared these on public databases, including the GISAID Initiative. This global collaboration allows scientists to access global data to better track the virus and how it is changing.

“WHO’s global SARS-CoV-2 laboratory network includes a dedicated Virus Evolution Working Group, which aims to detect new mutations quickly and assess their possible public health impact.

“Many countries are also doing their own sequencing of COVID-19 variants and sharing this data internationally to help with global monitoring and responses.”

Do virus changes affect the efficacy of vaccines?

“The COVID-19 vaccines that are currently being rolled out through vaccination programmes are expected to provide at least some protection against new virus variants because they all lead to a broad immune response.

“If any of these vaccines prove to be less effective against one or more variants, it will be possible to change the composition of the vaccine to protect against those variants.

“WHO continues to work with researchers, health officials and scientists to understand how these variants affect the virus’s behaviour, including their impact on the effectiveness of vaccines.”

Will the spread of new variants affect the easing of lockdowns and reopening of societies?

“Variants are a common phenomenon and are not in themselves dangerous, but they can be if they change the behaviour of the virus. Therefore, we need to monitor these developments closely, keeping track of the progress of variants among populations and taking the most appropriate steps to contain and control them. This is key to preventing them from getting out of control.

“This does not necessarily mean further lockdowns, but these can’t be ruled out as one of the tools in the toolbox for dealing with community virus spread, particularly if a specific variant of concern is associated with higher transmissibility.”

Should people travel abroad while there are variants circulating?

“We are still in the midst of the pandemic, with high numbers of COVID-19 cases, a number of variants of concern in circulation and a large proportion of Europe’s population still unvaccinated. WHO still recommends that travel only be undertaken in essential circumstances: for emergencies, humanitarian actions, movement of essential personnel and by those in certain transport sectors.

“Those with illnesses and people at risk, including older travellers and people with serious chronic diseases or underlying health conditions, should postpone international travel to and from areas with known community transmission.”

What should people do to protect themselves from being infected by a COVID-19 variant?

“Vaccination will not bring an end to this pandemic until it is distributed to everyone around the world. While this progresses, we need to keep reducing the chance of the virus spreading, reducing our risk of being exposed and reducing the risk of exposing others to the virus.

“Our message is clear: people should continue to follow the recommended measures – what we refer to as public health and social measures – to reduce virus transmission. This includes washing hands frequently, wearing a mask, keeping at least 1 metre of physical distance, ensuring good ventilation, and avoiding crowded places or closed settings. These measures work against all variants by reducing the amount of viral transmission and decreasing the chances of the virus being able to further mutate.

“In addition, it is important that people take up their offer of a vaccine when their turn comes. As more people get vaccinated, we expect virus circulation to decrease, which will also lead to fewer mutations.”

What are WHO’s recommendations to countries regarding virus changes?

“Countries need to increase the sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 variants and report the results so that we can continue to increase our understanding of them and to develop effective responses.

“WHO urges the continuing and redoubling of all basic public health and social measures that are known to work. For countries, these also include testing, isolating and treating cases, contact tracing, and quarantine for contacts of cases.

“Although rates of transmission are still currently high, overall we are seeing the number of COVID-19 cases decreasing across the European Region.

“But we’ve been here before: when the curve flattens, it is not the time to drop our guard but to raise it higher so we do not have to return to a lockdown situation. Complacency is not our friend.”

Nature and biodiversity play a vital role in protecting human health
Nature and biodiversity play a vital role in protecting human health

Urbanization, land use, global trade and industrialization have led to profound and negative impacts on nature, biodiversity and ecosystems across the world. The ongoing depletion of natural resources not only affects environmental conditions but also has an enormous impact on the health, well-being and security of societies. Exploring this complex relationship and the vital role that nature plays for promoting and protecting human health, and in recognition of the International Day for Biological Diversity on 22 May, WHO/Europe has published its first report on nature, biodiversity and health together with the WHO Collaborating Centre on Natural Environments and Health at the University of Exeter in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

The ongoing degradation of biodiversity and ecosystems will undermine progress towards most of the assessed targets of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and has been identified by many policy frameworks and conventions as one of the most urgent challenges for global action. This report represents a call to action for local and national governments to promote, support and enhance both nature and ecosystems worldwide. One fundamental basis for such action is to consider the implications of policies in various sectors on nature and biodiversity, following the One Health approach and implementing the “WHO Manifesto for a healthy recovery from COVID-19: Prescriptions for a healthy and green recovery from COVID-19”.

In providing an overview of the impacts of the natural environment on human health, the report covers such diverse topics as the health relevance of freshwater systems; air quality; coasts, seas and oceans; soil, agriculture, nutrition and food security; infectious diseases emerging from human-wildlife interaction; microbial diversity; medicine and health care; and green and blue spaces.

It presents the ways nature and ecosystems can support and protect health and well-being and describes how nature degradation and loss of biodiversity can threaten human health.

These findings can be summarized in 3 key messages.

  1. Nature provides the basic conditions for human health. For example, nature can be essential to purify water or regulate air quality, and it enables soil formation and food production on land and in seas. It is a resource for traditional medicines and provides opportunities for new pharmaceutical discoveries. The natural environment provides inspiration and settings for healthy lifestyles and social contact. Collectively, these provisions are known as ecosystem services.
  2. The environment protects human health. While nature itself can also present health risks, intact, functioning and resilient nature can help to mitigate extreme events and the effects of natural disasters, and to limit human exposure to pathogens.
  3. Pressure on natural environments threatens human health. Processes such as climate change, resource depletion and loss of biodiversity contribute to the increasing frequency of extreme events, threaten ecological collapse and affect food systems. Environmental change is also resulting in conflict and the displacement of people, with consequent health impacts.

Overall, this aims to inform policy- and decision-makers in the health and environment sectors, as well as other sectors involved with the protection, management and use of nature and biodiversity. It is also intended to support planners and decision-makers that may not be experts on nature and biodiversity but seek ways to consider the health aspects of natural and biodiverse environments locally.

Henry Kissinger Interview on Post-Pandemic Politics, China, Europe
Henry Kissinger Interview on Post-Pandemic Politics, China, Europe
  • Axel Springer CEO Mathias Döpfner sat down with former US Secretary of State and long-time diplomat Henry Kissinger.
  • They discussed the pandemic’s effects on global politics, China’s rise as a world power, and the future of the European Union.
  • Axel Springer is the parent company of Insider.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.
                      Matthias Döpfner, the CEO of Insider's parent company Axel Sprnger, interviewed former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. The interview <a href="https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/plus230637421/Henry-Kissinger-Es-gibt-keine-einzigartig-europaeische-Vision.html" data-analytics-module="body_link" rel="nofollow">originally appeared in WELT</a>, another Axel Springer publication, a translated version appears below. Kissinger is a notable figure, <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/does-henry-kissinger-have-a-conscience" data-analytics-module="body_link" rel="nofollow">if a controversial one</a>, and we thought readers would benefit from reading the conversation. The views expressed by Döpfner and Kissinger are their own.

Mathias Döpfner: You’re looking great, and healthy too. So, is life enjoyable despite the pandemic?

Henry Kissinger: I wouldn’t say enjoyable, but I came through the period well. 

Döpfner: How has you pandemic experience been so far? How has your life changed over the last 14 months?

Kissinger: Well, my life has changed in that I took for granted seeing people socially or in the office. So I miss that easy contact. I have lost an intangible relationship with people around the world. I have a series of Zooms, but it’s not the same. The immediacy of human relationships has been lost.

Döpfner: You are living quite isolated in your country home at the moment?

Kissinger: Yes. We have had nobody over for dinner in over a year.

Döpfner: Do you think that we will appreciate personal interaction more once this pandemic is under control and people are vaccinated? Or do you think that, in the long run, it could change social interaction, with people traveling less, meeting less, having less personal conversations? 

                      Kissinger: Videoconferences are going to replace meetings more than in the pre-pandemic period. Since I have been vaccinated, I am now freer to have an almost normal life. And my wife Nancy and I are planning to spend a month or so seeing friends. I have already had a dinner with old friends in New York. It was about a month of preparation. But things like that will be much more spontaneous from now on. 

Döpfner: What is the pandemic experience going to change in the political context in the long run? Will safety win versus individual freedom? Will autocratic systems gain ground versus democratic centrist systems?

Kissinger: In this country, the majority of people have had health and safety concerns that they’ve never experienced before. And they have been very occupied with maintaining a lifestyle that they used to take for granted. At the same time, there are groups who are systematically urging a new governmental and national philosophy. And while they are not the majority or even close to a majority, they continue pursuing their convictions — while the rest of the country is focused more on day-to-day life, or on very short-term political issues. 

Döpfner: Politicians had to make difficult decisions in the context of the pandemic. For example, legal restrictions concerning border controls and traveling that were considered to be impossible were suddenly possible. You might even say that authoritarian measures had to be implemented in order to save lives. The pandemic has reinforced political authority. And in a couple of countries, at least to a certain degree, people have been very supportive of that. Do you think that democracies are going to be more authoritarian? 

Kissinger: A great deal will depend on the impact of vaccinations, where there is already a wide gap between America and Europe. In the US, daily deaths from COVID-19 have been receding; young people are now being vaccinated; businesses and restaurants are beginning to reopen. Much of Europe remains locked down and fearful. Vaccination is beginning to pick up in Europe, but it remains several months behind America. The exception, of course, is the UK. So, to return to the question of political stability, if vaccination successfully reduces the incidence of the disease then the pandemic will be perceived mostly as a health problem that was overcome. The danger is less that emergency measures taken to fight the pandemic will persist than that if infections remain high for a prolonged period, on either side of the Atlantic, we would then witness a crisis of confidence in leaders and institutions. 

Döpfner: Talking about Europe, the EU has not been very successful, to put it mildly, in deploying vaccinations. The situation is pretty disastrous, and we are lagging behind America, England, even smaller countries like Israel or Chile. Europe seems to be a dysfunctional player in the crisis. Symbolically, it’s interesting that the Biden administration has restricted European travel to the US even more than Trump did. What impact do you think that will have on the current opportunity to re-establish a strategic transatlantic relationship between America and Europe?

Kissinger: In America, there has been growth in national consciousness in this period. It was already developing, encouraged by the previous administration. But more in the sense of indifference to foreigners rather than an active hostility towards foreigners. By contrast, in the period immediately following World War II, and for about 30 years afterwards, the idea that America and Europe were fundamentally linked was widespread, certainly in the educated classes. And contact with foreign countries in that period, especially contact with Europe, was a matter of course. This idea is much less prevalent nowadays. You don’t read reports on European elections in American newspapers anymore, and of course they don’t cover them on television. So, in that sense, a certain psychological separation has taken place.  

Döpfner: You once said that, if Europe and America do not re-establish an intense transatlantic relationship, Europe will end up as an appendix of Asia. Do you see a concrete danger at the moment that this might happen?

                      Kissinger: On the American side, there may be a temptation — certainly in the immediate post-pandemic period — to believe that we can operate in a more isolated manner on the basis of our reasonably good performance towards the end of the pandemic period. The current administration has been making useful pronouncements — with which I agree — about the importance of relinking America and Europe. That's important, but I don't think we've found our way yet to a new practice of the Atlantic relationship. The nature of that linkage is often defined as a return to American leadership. But it may turn out that what Europe seeks is collaborative autonomy, not guidance.
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                            German Chancellor Angela Merkel and then-Vice President Joe Biden.
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                    </figure><strong>Döpfner: But do you think that we might be facing disappointment ahead because we have naive expectations for the re-establishment of the transatlantic axis?</strong>

Kissinger: At the moment, what we are seeing from the administration is more the expression of an attitude than a detailed policy. There is a general desire to be linked again, and there is an amorphous concept that if we link in dialogue, then some level of operational cohesion will emerge automatically. But the differences between Europe and America did not just appear in the Trump administration. They had been growing already in the previous period, and on both sides. 

Döpfner: In a way you could say that Obama took office at the start of America’s Pacific period?

Kissinger: Yes. In the immediate post-war period, there was a common thread, and there was also the common task of rebuilding Europe and of redefining the American attitude to its foreign policy. These were important national endeavors. But even in the Nixon period, when attempts were made to redefine formal links, it proved relatively easy to do that in the strategic field. But it proved difficult to develop an Atlantic Charter of political objectives. There was no hostility, but there was also a reluctance by Europe to define an organic relationship. Now this problem will reappear in relation to the fact that the challenges of the world have become global. There is no localized threat to European identity. So, in defining our global roles, I could foresee a possible temptation on the part of Europe to pursue a kind of separate policy from the United States.

Döpfner: What are the consequences?

Kissinger: In the short run, I can actually see many benefits for both sides. But in the long run, my fear is that an emphasis of both sides on autonomy will do two things. It will reduce Europe to an appendage of Eurasia. And through this, Europe will become preoccupied by the tensions that derive from the competition of Asian and Near Eastern countries with each other. And Europe could become exhausted by these efforts. At the same time, if that happens, America could strategically become an island at the conjunction of the Pacific and the Atlantic. It would then conduct the foreign policies typical for island countries vis-à-vis continental land masses, that is to play off the weaker against the stronger, which means there will be more focus on divisions than on the construction of the world. And even if that separation between Europe and America is very friendly, we and Europe should not exhaust our energies in a struggle about how to define common purposes. We don’t have to agree on every economic policy on every local issue, but we should have a common concept of the direction we want the Atlantic regions to go, historically and strategically. 

Döpfner: The EU has not delivered on its promises: no over proportional growth for its economies, weak in managing security challenges, disappointing in its management of the euro crisis. Most importantly, the two big international challenges of the recent past have been very poorly managed by the EU. One is the refugee crisis. And the second one is now the pandemic, particularly vaccination. Could that become an existential threat for the EU?

                      Kissinger: The EU has not yet managed to create a political identity and a political consciousness as an organic unit. The decisions are made by balancing political preferences in an essentially administrative manner on a case by case basis. So, at least from my perspective, there is no vision that can be described as a specifically or uniquely European vision.

Döpfner: What could the European vision be?

Kissinger: For hundreds of years, Europe has contributed ideas about political structure and political vision. Many of the great ideas about freedom and democracy originated in Europe. At that time on the philosophical level, Europe was largely unified. Now, it seems the EU has a greater ability to concentrate on economic and technical issues than on historic issues. But if Europe is to participate in some unified sense in international affairs, it needs to develop the capacity to generate ideas that are at the same time specifically applicable to European circumstances and also of relevance to the rest of the world. My vision and dream of the European-American relationship has always been that we will manage to establish a unique conceptual relationship within which tactical differences can exist — and should and will exist — but in which they do not become the anchor point of the policy on each side of the Atlantic.

Döpfner: Which America is Europe going to deal with? I am curious to find out how you see the conceptual changes of the current Biden administration, both with regard to domestic and foreign policy.

Kissinger: The leading groups driving foreign policy within the administration are trying to restore what they consider the traditional pattern of the European-American relationship based on frequent, even constant, consultation with some consensus emerging. They have not yet fully addressed the fact that significant internal changes have taken place in the last 20 years on both sides of the Atlantic. And that these changes emphasize national interest more than is common in American conceptual thinking about foreign policy. Thus the content of the dialogues with America has flattened out while they’re still taking place, and while the institutions remain. The previous administration accentuated differences because of its conviction that America could not be mobilized without an emphasis on national interest. The dilemma with that way of thinking is that in the present technocratic world, the national interest requires a global basis. It’s no longer possible to have a national interest that is confined to the immediate circumference of one’s own country. And that is a task in which America has to engage itself as it pursues the Biden-type policy. 

Döpfner: What are you thinking about?  

Kissinger: When I was in office, because of the Vietnam War which we inherited, the divisions were very intense and, for policymakers, occasionally painful. But in a way they were family divisions. The leaders of the liberal Democratic side were personal acquaintances with whom I had gone to Harvard and met regularly. In the present period, there is a systemic questioning of the historic values of America. There is a point of view to the effect that American society has been immoral from its very beginning. Advocates of this view maintain that the American internal challenge derives from the historic structure of American society and history. They believe America’s institutions — the Senate, the Supreme Court, perhaps even the Constitution itself — have to be remade from the ground up. This is a revolutionary frame of mind which is being pursued very systematically and very effectively. It is not a view that is held by close to 50% of the population. But it is a view that is intensely held and is perhaps dominant in the academic and media community. It is therefore becoming extremely influential.

Döpfner: Would you say there is a growing intolerance for different views in those circles?

                      Kissinger: With respect to the issues that the adherents consider most important, there is very limited tolerance. It's a revolutionary view in the sense that it aims for victory, not compromise. And those who hold different views are ejected from participation.

Döpfner: By the year 2028, the expectation is that China will replace the US as the largest economy. A couple of days before Biden took office, the EU signed an investment and trade protection deal with China. That must have been perceived in Washington as a provocation. What does that tell us about the future of the American-European relationship versus China?

Kissinger: The administration is trying hard to keep the relationship within traditionally accepted limits. But it faces the situation now where public opinion has become convinced that China is not only a rapidly growing country, which is true, but also that China is an inherent enemy, and that therefore our main task is to confront it and to reduce its capacity to be a major country. But China has been a major country for thousands of years. And in different historical epochs. And so, the recovery of China should be not surprising, and its consequences are that America, for the first time in its history, is facing a country of potentially comparable capacities in economics, and with great historic skill in conducting international affairs. This was not the case with the Soviets. They were actually weaker than the United States in military capacities, and they had no economic position in the international field at all. So, with respect to the current crisis, there is almost a certain nostalgia for the issues of the Cold War.

Döpfner: Nostalgia? 

Kissinger: Yes. The big issue to look upon is not just to prevent Chinese hegemony, but to understand that if we achieve that objective — which we must — the need to coexist with a country of that magnitude remains. Let me say a word about the assumed global domination of China. 

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                            Chinese President Xi Jinping.
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                    </figure><strong>Döpfner: Please.</strong>

Kissinger: There is a big difference between the Chinese perception of history and the Russian perception. Russian leaders have historically been insecure, because they have spent their history defending themselves against potential enemies on all sides. They have therefore, since becoming strong, identified influence with physical domination. China has a more complex view. The Confucian view, which shapes Chinese thinking side by side with Chinese Marxism, implies that if China performs at the maximum level of its capacities, it will generate a majestic conduct which will produce respect in the rest of the world — making it agreeable, at some levels, to Chinese preferences. In the Empire period, foreign countries were graded by the degree of their proximity to Chinese cultural precepts. There existed a department for grading these countries, and it conducted foreign policy. China has historically and recently supported this attitude with military actions to remind adversaries that this is not just a philosophical debate. But if you actually study the Chinese military actions, since the period that the communists took over, they’ve all been for psychological effect. They were often very tough. And we must be prepared to oppose Chinese hegemony. But we, at the same time, should remain open to a policy of coexistence.

In dealing with China, different schools of thought have to be sorted out. There’s a group who thinks the Chinese capacity for foreign policy must be confronted at all levels from economics to Chinese internal politics. It ascribes current Chinese policies to the current Chinese leadership and strives for bringing about a more accommodating group. I, on the other hand, believe that such an attitude generates a maximum of resistance. Of course, free societies must continue to conduct world affairs compatible with their principles and free of the threat of hegemony. But coexistence in the current world of technology is a necessity, because it is impossible to visualize a war between major countries who have significant AI technology that will not destroy cultural life as we know it. So that will be the debate in America and maybe in the world.

                      <strong>Döpfner: A truly reliable alliance between the United States and Europe would be essential for America. Do you think a strategic disagreement with regards to China can be a real threat to the transatlantic relationship? </strong>

Kissinger: If Europe pursues a policy of taking advantage of American-Chinese disagreement, it will make confrontations all the sharper and crises all the more overwhelming. I am not in favor of a crusade against China. But I am in favor of developing a common strategic understanding so that the situation will not be inflamed further by constant maneuvering for advantage.

Döpfner: But if China becomes the globally leading economy, it seems very likely that it will also have a major impact on political values and political systems in countries that are economically dependent on China — which will be almost all of the non-American rest of the world.

Kissinger: Well, I don’t think it’s the entire world or even the dominant part of it.

Döpfner: We can debate about Russia. But Europe, Africa, Australia?

Kissinger: No, I am assuming that the societies you mention have enough self-discipline and confidence that they will not permit such an outcome.

Döpfner: You are saying Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology has the power to have significant impact on our culture. The new instrument strategically and the new form of warfare is not weapons, it’s basically data. In that regard, China has an unfair advantage. They are collecting tons of personal data as part of their regulative system putting the interest of the Chinese Central State first. The likelihood that China is going to win the race of AI is not small. Are you afraid we might end up with a unilateral AI governance dominated by the Chinese?

Kissinger: Five years ago, I didn’t know anything about AI.

                      <strong>Döpfner: Now you're writing articles about it, you're an expert in it. </strong>

Kissinger: I am a student of it. It is fascinating not only economically, but also philosophically, because it will change the nature of human thinking about reality, which will affect all of us. The U.S. needs to maintain a high level of performance in AI. But there are two levels: superior AI can mean you can crush any competitor who operates on market principles. But you’re wrong in saying that the Chinese are bound to be superior to us in the AI field. We have many of the assets of creativity in the AI field. But we have to understand AI in its totality. In the world that you envision, there will inevitably be a competition between AI powers. “High-tech powers” is a better way to say it. And the propensity of high-tech is towards monopoly. That needs to be overcome.

Döpfner: Right!

Kissinger: And, therefore, there is this propensity to crush the opponent. Now coexistence depends on neither side seeking to destroy the opponent while maintaining its values and objectives, and each side needs to place coexistence ahead of a quest for domination. This requires an understanding between the leaders of high-tech societies. We must learn from history. Europeans in particular know the consequences of wars that can neither be won nor ended.

Döpfner: But do you think there could be peaceful coexistence?

Kissinger: I know it is our duty to attempt it. Right now, in the West, high-tech is developed almost for its own sake. People are fascinated by it, and they keep building it. So, given our propensity for and our demonstrated ability in this field, I am confident that we should be able to maintain a competitive position. 

Döpfner: I agree, that that dual competition will remain for the foreseeable near  future. However, it is also a realistic scenario that one day a unilateral system with one force basically dominating, either the US or China, will emerge. In this context two questions raise. First, will AI serve the people, or will people be serving AI? Many people like Elon Musk and others, who know AI extremely well are worried about the latter scenario. Second: Is AI serving the economic well-being of big tech platforms and companies, as in the United States, or is AI serving the well-being of a central state, which basically controls and uses AI for the total surveillance and control of its people? And I think this is a very fundamental difference, and it has a huge impact on the consequences of AI. 

Kissinger: In the competition between China and the West, a key objective has to be to prevent it from becoming an all-out AI conflict. Which means that, while both sides may have the theoretical capability of winning, neither side chooses to exercise it—they should limit it by some kind of understanding. I’m laying out a task, not a detailed program. Strive for it, because the alternative of an all-out conflict strains the imagination. The United States must always have an adequate defense. But in the high-tech world, it must also work for coexistence. We cannot do it as a unilateral act. This is the challenge of our time.

                      <strong>Döpfner: Europe and particularly Germany play a pretty irrelevant role in that context. A century ago, Germany wanted too much leadership, and today, it doesn't want enough leadership or doesn't take enough leadership?</strong>

Kissinger: Well, in the 1930s certainly, Germany wanted too much — it wanted dominance. Since the end of the Second World War, Germany has rebuilt itself by reliance on the Atlantic Alliance, and I had the privilege of participating at the margins of that effort. But it has gone through the process of defining a new identity several times since the end of World War II. First to build the Federal Republic of Germany, then for Reunited Germany, then for a European Germany. And now the issue arises of a global Germany, and there is little historical precedent for that role. Germany has the resources and the history to be a major factor in the future. It needs to make up its mind on how it perceives its global role. 

Döpfner: At the end, a pleasant topic. There has been one constant over the last almost 100 years and that is that your favorite soccer club is Greuther Fürth. Now, four days before your 98th birthday this year, there is the possibility on the last match day that Greuther Fürth could move up to the Bundesliga. Your favorite birthday gift? 

Kissinger: A great birthday gift. I haven’t lived in Fürth in over 80 years. But I follow Greuther Fürth, and I have already made a tentative plan that, if Fürth makes it to the Bundesliga, which does not look very likely, but they are not without a chance, I will travel to Fürth to visit my grandfather’s grave and attend a game if the pandemic permits it.

Döpfner: You should come no matter what happens. If you look back to your childhood, was there a reading experience that was life changing for you? Is there one single book that you could mention that had a particularly strong influence on your way of thinking and your way of living?

Kissinger: No, in my childhood, the preoccupation of my family was how to survive, how to arrive at a situation where one could plan a normal future. Which is why America was such an important element throughout my life. Later on, when I was in America, Spengler’s “Decline of the West” had a major influence on my thinking. Not because of the prediction of decline, but because of the perception of looking at every civilization as a unit and not in terms of separate individual actions. And because of his analysis that the architecture, science, and every other aspect of our culture have certain basic themes. 

Döpfner: If you had to decide for the politician of the last 100 years who left the most positive impact on the world who would that be? 

Kissinger: Winston Churchill. He saved Europe. 

                      <strong>Döpfner: You are, a German who had to leave his home country because Germans organized the Holocaust that killed millions of Jews and many members of your family. You made your career in America and became an international political figure of great influence. And throughout the decades, you have kept this very special interest in Germany and the importance of the American-German relationship. More than that, you have kept a deep emotional affection for Germany. Can you explain why and how that was possible? </strong>

Kissinger: I don’t know if I have ever formally addressed this issue. My family suffered more than I did, because I was younger. Despite the losses of close relatives and friends, my father always retained a nostalgic feeling for Germany. In 1965, I received an award from the city of Fürth, and my father came along. To my amazement, he chose to volunteer an extremely conciliatory speech in German emphasizing the positive things he remembered. I never really explored with him how he reached that decision. And in my own personal life at the end of the war, when I was a very young man in counterintelligence who had been entrusted with great powers, I decided that if it was wrong to treat Jews on the basis of their ethnicity, then it was wrong to do that to Germans too. And, by serving in Germany, I had an opportunity to start to work on a new relationship. And it evolved into an important part of my life.

Anticipating health workforce and hospital needs to plan for a better COVID-19 response in Kyrgyzstan
Anticipating health workforce and hospital needs to plan for a better COVID-19 response in Kyrgyzstan

Two WHO tools, developed to forecast requirements for health workforce surge capacity and hospital bed availability during the COVID-19 pandemic, were tailored to fit the context of the response in Kyrgyzstan.

The WHO Adaptt Surge Planning Support Tool and the Health Workforce Estimator helped Kyrgyzstan’s Ministry of Health and Social Development make optimal plans at different stages of the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • The Adaptt Surge Planning Support Tool visualizes needs during a surge, including the number of hospital beds, human resources and dates of predicted bed shortages.
  • The Health Workforce Estimator identifies workforce gaps by estimating how many of each type of health worker are needed, based on numbers of mild, moderate, severe and critical patients per day.

Piloting the tools in phases

Application of the 2 tools was done in 2 phases. The first phase piloted the tools in 11 hospitals in the Chui region and the capital, Bishkek, using data from 1 October 2020 to 15 February 2021. The results showed a close correlation between predicted and actual hospitalizations and bed requirements, demonstrating their reliability in the Kyrgyz context.

In the second phase, the tools were used to estimate requirements for a third national surge between 18 March and 30 June 2021, applying national and regional data from the second surge in the Chui region and Bishkek. Assuming the third surge in Kyrgyzstan would be 75% of the second surge, the results indicate that the country has enough staff and beds to support the next surge.

Results of the pilot

The Chui region pilot showed that there was a shortage of doctors, nurses and junior health workers at the peak of the second surge and that there are generally more critical patients in the Chui region than there are nationally.

This work, conducted by the Ministry of Health and Social Development to develop a more robust health workforce for hospitals involved in the COVID-19 response, is technically supported by the Working for Health Programme, which is led by WHO and funded by the  China-United Nations Peace and Development Fund.

WHO/Europe joins forces with members of parliament and civil society to end the TB epidemic by 2030
WHO/Europe joins forces with members of parliament and civil society to end the TB epidemic by 2030

WHO/Europe is helping Member States leverage high-level political will to position the fight against tuberculosis (TB) as a whole-of-government and whole-of-society priority. It is hoped that better coordination linking the highest levels of government with the grassroots of society will galvanize the implementation of political commitments to end TB.

The vicious circle of social determinants, one of the major drivers of the TB epidemic, was highlighted by WHO/Europe at a meeting convened by the Global TB Caucus on 18 March 2021. Participants included members of parliament from eastern European and central Asian countries as well as the TB Europe Coalition and the Stop TB Partnership.

Factors such as poverty, malnutrition and poor living conditions increase the risk of becoming infected with TB and of developing serious disease. These factors also have a negative impact on treatment outcomes. The way to ensure a rights-based, equitable, gender-sensitive and people-centred TB response is to invest in multisectoral collaboration and accountability.

Accountability across sectors

The Multisectoral Accountability Framework to Accelerate Progress to End TB by 2030 (MAF-TB) was presented at the meeting as a practical tool to strengthen a multisectoral response and support accountability for the implementation of political commitments to end the TB epidemic by 2030, in line with national and global targets.

WHO developed the MAF-TB upon request from Member States following the first WHO Global Ministerial Conference on Ending TB in the Sustainable Development Era: a Multisectoral Response in November 2017 and the United Nations General Assembly High-level Meeting on Ending TB in September 2018.

WHO/Europe shared updates on the launch of MAF-TB baseline assessments in pilot countries of eastern Europe and central Asia (Belarus, Kazakhstan, the Republic of Moldova, Tajikistan and Ukraine). The Organization discussed collaborating further with members of parliament, civil society and affected communities as an integral part of its technical work with Member States to operationalize the MAF-TB and ensure a sustainable, multisectoral TB response.

European countries adopt Vienna Declaration on clean, safe and healthy transport and first-ever Pan-European Master Plan for Cycling Promotion
European countries adopt Vienna Declaration on clean, safe and healthy transport and first-ever Pan-European Master Plan for Cycling Promotion

Vienna, Austria, 18 May 2021

Today, European countries adopted the Vienna Declaration to spur the transformation towards clean, safe, healthy and inclusive transport and mobility, with a strong focus on promoting cycling across the pan-European region*.

The Vienna Declaration was signed at the end of the Fifth High-level Meeting on Transport, Health and Environment. The virtual meeting, hosted by the Federal Government of Austria, brought together 46 ministers and representatives of 56 countries in the pan-European region.

The group discussed how to introduce substantial changes in transport and mobility systems in order to address multiple challenges such as ambient air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, physical inactivity and noncommunicable diseases, and social inequity in access to transport and mobility.

Ministers and representatives of the European countries also adopted the Pan-European Master Plan for Cycling Promotion, a first-of-its-kind initiative that extends across the region.

The Master Plan calls for:

  • doubling cycling in the region by 2030;
  • significantly increasing cycling and walking in every country;
  • reallocating space for cycling and walking;
  • improving the active mobility infrastructure in every country;
  • increasing cyclist and pedestrian safety;
  • developing national cycling policies, strategies and plans; and
  • integrating cycling into health policies, infrastructure and land-use planning.

The COVID-19 pandemic has shown the important role of active mobility in public health and the necessity of strengthening the resilience of mobility to crises and disasters. European authorities agreed that post-pandemic recovery packages need to focus on innovative approaches to expanding clean, safe, healthy and inclusive mobility and transport, including by reducing car dependency, improving rail traffic and public transport, and significantly increasing safe walking and cycling.

Building on lessons learned from the pandemic, and recognizing the value of our public transport systems and frontline workers who ensure that these services continue, a set of recommendations was developed to assure the sustainability and resilience of transport and mobility systems.

Calling for a pan-European strategy on transport, health and environment

The Vienna Declaration calls for a comprehensive pan-European strategy for transforming mobility towards zero emissions, ensuring health-promoting mobility, and building safe and efficient transport in the decade to come. Its recommendations point towards a restart for sustainable transport and investments in green and healthy mobility and transport for all in the region.

“The climate crisis is the biggest challenge of our time. In adopting the Vienna Declaration, we commit to taking leadership in building forward better, and to making our mobility and transport systems climate-friendly, clean, safe and health promoting,” explained Ms Leonore Gewessler, Federal Minister for Climate Action, Environment, Energy, Mobility, Innovation and Technology of Austria.

“There are tremendous positive effects that green transport can have on our citizens’ health and climate action, as well as on the recovery of the economy and on the creation of jobs. I am pleased that we have agreed on the first-ever Pan-European Master Plan for Cycling Promotion. This is an historic milestone to promote active and zero-emission mobility all over Europe. Climate action is the right solution at the right time,” she affirmed.

Ms Gewessler concluded, “Austria will further support the implementation of the Transport, Health and Environment Pan-European Programme, in particular by developing a pan-European competence centre for active mobility, and by launching new partnerships on child- and youth-friendly mobility and sustainable mobility in tourism.”

Building forward better in the pan-European region

Car dependency, restricted use of public space, and lack of safety for cyclists and pedestrians contribute to physical inactivity and sedentary lifestyles, which increase the risk of noncommunicable diseases and obesity.

Increasing cycling and walking in every country, ensuring cyclist and pedestrian safety, and including active mobility in health policies, as proposed in the Pan-European Master Plan for Cycling Promotion, can reduce the burden of diseases and the impact of road crashes in the region.

“Our commitment to transform transport systems enables us to incorporate health-care promotion into urban planning by putting a strong emphasis on cycling and walking. These modes of active mobility are associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular diseases and an increase in overall well-being,” said Dr Wolfgang Mückstein, Federal Minister for Social Affairs, Health, Care and Consumer Protection of Austria.

“We have the unique opportunity to make a substantial and sustainable contribution to improving well-being by incentivizing active mobility and therefore improving air quality and cutting greenhouse gases,” Dr Mückstein added.

The greenhouse gas emissions from transport contribute to climate change, and traffic-related air pollution, noise and road traffic crashes add to the disease burden in Europe. This burden is disproportionately concentrated in certain geographic areas and among less affluent social groups.

Recognizing that this week is also the Sixth United Nations Global Road Safety Week, it is important to acknowledge that more than 110 000 people are killed on the roads every year in the pan-European region, and that road traffic injuries are the number one cause of death globally among young people aged 5 to 29 years.

“In a region where a staggering 70% of all deaths are due to noncommunicable diseases such as cancer, diabetes or cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, transport and urban policies play a major role in shaping health – for better or for worse,” noted Dr Hans Henri P. Kluge, WHO Regional Director for Europe.

“This Declaration acknowledges the interdependence of environmental and human health by promoting active mobility to prevent noncommunicable diseases and reduce air pollution, which claims more than half a million deaths every year. The goal? More resilient and healthier communities for people to live and thrive in,” Dr Kluge explained.

Answering the need for inclusive and equitable transport systems across the pan-European region

The Vienna Declaration also underlines the need to address inequalities related to transport and urban sprawl, as not all socioeconomic groups have equal access to healthy transportation, public transport networks, resources for active mobility, and recreational and green areas.

“In traditionally male-dominated fields like transport, the achievement of gender equality is still a long way off, especially in senior positions. And equal pay for equal work is still an issue since, despite progress in recent years, no country has achieved equality in earnings between men and women,” stressed United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) Executive Secretary Ms Olga Algayerova.

Ms Algayerova concluded, “We must therefore prioritize inclusiveness and equality – including gender equality – as we make our transport systems more sustainable. I call on all governments of the region and all sectors to translate the vision of the Vienna Declaration into concrete action in this field.”

European countries also agreed to promote the mobilization of financial resources, including from international institutions, green finance instruments, and public and private sectors; to invest in sustainable mobility and transport systems through partnerships; to invest in strengthening capacities; and to exchange experiences across the pan-European region.

About the Transport, Health and Environment Pan-European Programme (THE PEP)

THE PEP is a unique intergovernmental, cross-sectoral  policy platform for policy-makers and stakeholders of the countries of the pan-European region for accelerating the transformation towards clean, safe and healthy mobility and net-zero-emission transport.

THE PEP is driven and guided by its Steering Committee of Member States currently chaired by Austria, and is jointly serviced by the UNECE and the WHO Regional Office for Europe.


  • The pan-European region consists of the 56 Member States of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), and includes all 53 Member States of the WHO European Region.
Share excess COVID-19 vaccines now, UNICEF chief says ahead of G7 summit
Share excess COVID-19 vaccines now, UNICEF chief says ahead of G7 summit

Henrietta Fore, the agency’s Executive Director, issued the statement from New York as G7 leaders gear up for their summit next month in the United Kingdom, and as vaccine producer India continues to confront the rapid surge.

Heed the warning

UNICEF is a partner in COVAX, the global vaccine equity mechanism, which is set to deliver its 65 millionth dose this week.  However, Ms Fore said “it should have been at least its 170 millionth.” 

The shortfall will be closer to 190 million doses by the time the G7 meet, she added, and as a deadly second wave of COVID-19 will likely continue to sweep across India and many of its neighbours.

“We have issued repeated warnings of the risks of letting down our guard and leaving low- and middle-income countries without equitable access to vaccines, diagnostics and therapeutics. We are concerned that the deadly spike in India is a precursor to what will happen if those warnings remain unheeded,” she said.

India crisis ‘not unique’

Although tragic, Ms Fore said the situation in India “is not unique”.  Countries such as Nepal, Sri Lanka, the Maldives, Argentina and Brazil have seen an explosion in cases, and health systems are struggling.  She also pointed to the threat of the emergence of more deadly or contagious variants if the virus continues to spread unchecked.  

While COVAX represents a pathway out of the pandemic, it is undersupplied, in part due to the crisis in India. The country is a leader in vaccine production, but the situation at home has led to a severe reduction in supplies for the solidarity scheme.

© UNICEF/Sujay Reddy

A health worker holds a vial of of COVID-19 vaccine at a hospital in New Delhi, India.

“Soaring domestic demand has meant that 140 million doses intended for distribution to low- and middle-income countries through the end of May cannot be accessed by COVAX.  Another 50 million doses are likely to be missed in June,” she said.

“This, added to vaccine nationalism, limited production capacity and lack of funding, is why the roll-out of COVID vaccines is so behind schedule.”

Share your doses

Ms Fore said G7 leaders will be meeting in June “with a potential emergency stop-gap measure readily available.”

New data analysis indicates that the bloc, together with European Union countries, could donate around 153 million vaccine doses if they shared just 20 per cent of their available supply over June, July and August. Governments would still be able to vaccinate their populations.

“While some G7 members have greater supplies than others, and some have further advanced domestic rollouts, an immediate collective commitment to pool excess supplies and share the burden of responsibility could buttress vulnerable countries against becoming the next global hotspot,” Ms Fore said.

The UNICEF chief stated that “the global vaccination race” will only be won when countries fully fund and supply COVAX, while also supporting vaccine production through Intellectual Property licensing and technology transfers.

“These measures are critical, but they won’t change anything overnight,” she said. “Sharing immediately available excess doses is a minimum, essential and emergency stop-gap measure, and it is needed right now.”
 

Coca-Cola (KO) Surpasses Q1 Earnings & Revenue Estimates
Coca-Cola (KO) Surpasses Q1 Earnings & Revenue Estimates

The Coca-Cola Company KO has delivered first-quarter 2021 results, wherein earnings and sales beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and improved year over year. Comparable earnings of 55 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 50 cents and improved 8% from the year-ago period. Currency translations negatively impacted earnings by 2%. Comparable currency-neutral earnings per share rose 10%.

Revenues of $9,020 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8,466 million and improved 5% year over year. Organic revenues rose 6% from the prior-year quarter. The company’s top line benefited from better price/mix and an increase in concentrate sales. Also, five additional days in the quarter aided revenue growth by 6 percentage points.

In the quarter, the company lost a global value share in total non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages. Coca-Cola benefited from underlying share gains in both at-home and away-from-home channels, which were largely offset by negative channel mix due to pressures in the away-from-home channel. Notably, the company has a majority share position in the away-from-home channel.

Notably, Coca-Cola’s shares gained 1.2% in the pre-market trading session, owing to the better-than-expected first-quarter 2021 performance. Overall, the Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock has rallied 10.2% in the past three months compared with the industry’s growth of 4.2%.

Volume and Pricing

In the quarter, concentrate sales were up 5%, while price/mix was rose 1%. However, currency headwinds hurt the company’s top line by 1%.

Price/mix benefited from pricing gains in North America and Latin America, offset by adverse channel and package mix in key markets due to the coronavirus outbreak. Concentrate sales were 5 points ahead of unit case volume, owing to five additional days in the quarter, offset by the timing of concentrate shipments.

Coca-Cola’s total unit case volume was even in the first quarter as continued strength in at-home channels was offset by pressures in the away-from-home channels due to the coronavirus outbreak. The company witnessed strength in the developing and emerging markets, driven by China and India. Yet, the developed markets, including the United States and Western Europe, remained under pressure.

CocaCola Company The Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

CocaCola Company The Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

CocaCola Company The price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | CocaCola Company The Quote

Category Cluster Performance: In the quarter, volume gains in trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling flavors, and the nutrition, juice, dairy and plant-based beverages category were offset by headwinds in the hydration category.

Sparkling soft drinks’ unit case volume improved 4% (compared with a 1% decline in the prior quarter), driven by robust gains in China, India and Latin America. This was partly negated by declines in the fountain business in North America and away-from-home channels in Europe. The Coca-Cola trademark was up 4% (compared with a 1% increase in the last reported quarter) on strong gains in the Asia Pacific and Latin America as well as Coca-Cola Zero Sugar. Notably, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar improved 8%, backed by strength across all geographic segments. Moreover, the sparkling flavors category improved 2% on growth in Trademark Sprite in the Asia Pacific.

Volume for nutrition, juice, dairy and plant-based beverages was up 3%. The category primarily gained from growth in Minute Maid Pulpy in China and Mazaa in India. In North America, strong growth in Simply and fairlife performance was more than offset by declines in Minute Maid.

Hydration, sports, coffee and tea category declined 11% in the first quarter. The company witnessed a 12% decline in hydration on broad-based declines across all geographies. Sports drinks were down 1%, owing to a fall in Europe, Middle East & Africa (“EMEA”), partly negated by strength in premium offerings and the zero/lights portfolio in North America. Tea volume dropped 6%, owing to declines in North America and the Asia Pacific. The coffee business witnessed a 21% decline on the pandemic-led impacts on Costa retail outlets.

Segmental Details

Revenues rose 3% for North America, 24% for the Asia Pacific and 14% for Bottling Investments. Meanwhile, revenues declined 2% for Latin America, 6% for EMEA and 1% for Global Ventures segments.

Organic revenues improved 8% in Latin America, 4% in North America, 18% in the Asia Pacific and 17% in Bottling Investments, offset by a 7% decline in EMEA and a 5% fall in Global Ventures.

Margins

Comparable currency-neutral operating income improved 7% year over year, driven by effective cost-management initiatives, partly offset by currency headwinds. In dollar terms, comparable operating income rose 6.1% to $2,794 million. Comparable operating margin expanded 30 basis points to 31%.

Other Developments

Concurrent to the earnings release, the company and Coca-Cola Beverages Africa (“CCBA”) announced plans to list CCBA as a publicly-traded company through an initial public offering (“IPO”). For the offering, Coca-Cola intends to sell a portion of its shareholding in CCBA. The companies expect to launch the IPO in the next 18 months. The shares will be listed in Amsterdam and Johannesburg, with Amsterdam being the primary exchange.

Following the IPO, CCBA will operate as an independent company, with operations focused in Africa and headquartered in South Africa.

Guidance

Though the uncertainties related to the coronavirus pandemic remain, the company retained its organic revenue and comparable EPS growth guidance for 2021. It estimates organic net sales growth in high-single digits for 2021. It expects a comparable EPS growth rate of high-single to low-double-digits, whereas it reported $1.95 in 2020.

Comparable net revenues are now anticipated to be aided by a 1-2% currency tailwind, based on current rates and hedge positions. The company now expects an underlying effective tax rate of 19.1% for 2021. Earlier, it anticipated 2-3% currency tailwinds on net revenues and an effective tax rate of 19.5%.

Comparable EPS is now expected to include a favorable currency impact of 2-3% compared with the previously mentioned 3-4% currency tailwinds.

Additionally, the company estimates free cash flow of at least $8.5 billion for 2021, with cash flow of at least $10 billion and capital expenditure of $1.5 billion.

Moreover, for second-quarter 2021, it anticipates comparable net revenues and comparable EPS to include currency tailwinds of 3-4% and 5-6%, respectively, based on current rates.

Don’t Miss These Better-Ranked Stocks

Alkaline Water Company Inc. WTER delivered an earnings surprise of 14.3% in the last reported quarter. It currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S.A. CCU presently carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10.2%.

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. EL currently carries a Zacks Rank #2. It has a long-term earnings growth rate of 10.7%.

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Spend It Better: World Bee Day is less a celebration than an appeal for help
Spend It Better: World Bee Day is less a celebration than an appeal for help

Let’s look at the Irish farming landscape through the gaze of a bee. Glossy fields of grass might look like lush rich countryside. To our bees they’re a food desert. 

                                                    <p class="no_name">We have lost varied hay meadows, wildflowers, hedgerows which buzzed and fluttered with life. Instead we have blankets of perennial ryegrass, a native plant of southern Europe, Africa and Asia, heavily fertilised with nitrogen for beef and dairy herds. The loudest sounds on dairy prairies isn’t the buzzing of bees but the munching of animals.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">UN World Bee Day was May 20th. It may sound like a celebration of the French bathroom accessory but it marks the birth of the 18th century father of beekeeping Anton Jansa. There will be lots of talk of honey and waggle dances (the method of communication a bee uses to show the other bees in the hive where to find the good stuff). But 77 of the 98 Irish bee species are solitary bees. And their habitat loss has been so catastrophic that a third of all species are threatened with extinction.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">Paul Handrick is happy to be known as “the bee guy”. Once a sales guy he and his wife Clare-Louise Donelan had a plan 10 years ago to move to France but instead fell in love with a farm in Wicklow. It’s now the Bee Sanctuary of Ireland, “no hives, no honey”, just 31 football pitches “which we have been returning to nature”.</p>
                                                                                                                                                                                        <p class="no_name">The rewilding story is both bleak and hopeful. So much has been lost that people like Paul and Clare Louise are throwing everything they have to try to claw it back. But ecosystems regenerate quickly and powerfully. Paul has seen wildflowers like cowslips and cuckoo flower throng his chemical-free fields, and has “a pond full of frogs” in the wetland areas. Flocks of finches and long-tailed tits sing so loudly they drown out phone conversations. “We leave a strip for ourselves and the rest is for nature.”</p>

                                                    <p class="no_name">Their big idea is the National Meadowland scheme, asking businesses to pay farmers to put 2 per cent of farmland into meadow for insects from March to September. All the farmer needs is “a cheque for nature”. </p>
                                                    <h4 class="crosshead">Subscription</h4><p class="no_name">Individuals can also become a friend of the bees. There’s a €36-a-year subscription for adults or €12 for children. Sanctuary visits can be arranged once Covid restrictions lift.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">And in our own gardens? </p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">His advice is simple: “Don’t even look at chemicals. Sow a few organic native wildflowers, sunflowers in a pot, or cosmos.” </p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">And forget about elaborate bee hotels – a small pile of bare soil and sand or rocks on a south-facing sheltered spot is all they need.</p>
                                                    <p class="no_name">www.thebeesanctuaryofireland.com </p>
Opportunities in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector Market Report- Size, Growth, and Per Capita Analysis
Opportunities in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector Market Report- Size, Growth, and Per Capita Analysis

The global hot drinks sector is forecast to rise from US$218,661.2 million in 2020 to reach US$290,191.9 million by 2025, recording a CAGR of 5.82% over 2020-2025. Asia-Pacific, the largest region, with a value share of 38.1% in the global hot drinks sector in 2020, is forecast to record a CAGR of 7.46% over 2020-2025. Hot tea was the largest category in the region, accounting for 57% of the overall hot drinks sector in 2020. Sales in the category is anticipated to increase by 8% over 2020-2025 to reach US$69,801.3 million by 2025.

Request for FREE PDF Sample Report @ https://www.reportsnreports.com/contacts/requestsample.aspx?name=4430777

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks sector. It includes market overview, high growth country analysis, top companies, key distribution channels, packaging formats and case studies.

Scope of this Report-
This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of Asia-Pacific hot drinks sector, analyzing data from 26 countries in the region. It includes analysis on the following –
– Market Environment: Includes sector size, market size, and growth analysis by category.
– High-Potential Countries’ Analysis: Indicates changing share of value consumption in the various hot drinks categories across high-potential countries in the Asia-Pacific region. It also provides Risk-Reward analysis of four countries across Asia-Pacific region based on market assessment, economic development, socio-demographic, governance indicators, and technological infrastructure.
– Country Deep Dive: Provides the overview, demographic analysis, and key trends across high-potential countries.
– Success Stories: Provides some of the most compelling hot drinks manufacturers, brands, products, and marketing campaigns in the Asia-Pacific region. It also provides a better understanding of how a certain manufacturer achieved success in the sector, and insights.
– Competitive Environment: Provides an overview of leading companies in the Asia-Pacific region, besides analyzing the growth of private label in the region.
– Distribution Analysis: Provides analysis on the leading distribution channels in the Asia-Pacific hot drinks sector in 2020. It covers hypermarkets & supermarkets, convenience stores, food & drinks specialists, eRetailers, department stores, “dollar stores”, variety stores & general, merchandise retailers, cash & carries & warehouse clubs, and others.
– Packaging Analysis*: The report provides percentage share (in 2020) and growth analysis (during 2015-2025) for various pack materials, pack types, closure, and primary outer types based on the volume sales (by pack units) of hot drinks products
– Challenges and Future Outlook: Provides the challenges and future outlook pertaining to Asia-Pacific hot drinks sector.

Reasons to Buy this Report-
– Manufacturing and retailers seek latest information on how the market is evolving to formulate their sales and marketing strategies. There is also demand for authentic market data with a high level of detail. This report has been created to provide its readers with up-to-date information and analysis to uncover emerging opportunities of growth within the sector in the region.
– The report provides a detailed analysis of the countries in the region, covering the key challenges, competitive landscape and demographic analysis , that can help companies gain insight into the country specific nuances
– The analysts have also placed a significant emphasis on the key trends that drive consumer choice and the future opportunities that can be explored in the region, than can help companies in revenue expansion
– To gain competitive intelligence about leading companies in the sector in the region with information about their market share and growth rates

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Table of Contents
Regional Comparison: Market Size, Growth, and Per Capita Analysis, 2020-2025
Executive Summary
Part 1: Market Environment
Market Size Analysis – Asia-Pacific Compared to Other Regions
Value and Volume Growth Analysis by Region
Asia-Pacific Market Growth Analysis by Country
Asia-Pacific Market Growth Analysis by Category
Part 2: High-Potential Countries’ Analysis
Methodology – Identifying High-Potential Countries
Top Four High-Potential Countries in the Asia-Pacific
Overview of High-Potential Countries in the Asia-Pacific
Growth Contribution Analysis by Country (1/2)
Growth Contribution Analysis by Country (2/2)
Value share analysis of hot drinks compared to other coffee & tea sectors
Change in consumption levels by country and category
Per Capita Consumption Analysis
Per Capita Expenditure Analysis
Part 3: Country Deep Dive
Overview of the Japanese Hot Drinks Sector
Key Trends in the Japanese Hot Drinks Sector
Overview of the Australian Hot Drinks Sector
Key Trends in the Australian Hot Drinks Sector
Overview of the Vietnamese Hot Drinks Sector
Key Trends in the Vietnamese Hot Drinks Sector
Overview of the Chinese Hot Drinks Sector
Key Trends in the Chinese Hot Drinks Sector
Overview of High-Potential Countries in the Eastern Europe
Value share analysis of hot drinks compared to other coffee & tea sectors
Change in consumption levels by country and category
Top Five Companies Share by Brand (in Value Terms) in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector, 2020
Private Label Penetration (in Value Terms) in Hot Drinks Sector, 2020
Leading Distribution Channels in the Asia-Pacific by Country, 2020
Leading Distribution Channels in the Asia-Pacific by Category, 2020
Part 4: Success Stories
About Case Studies
Case Study: Zoom Zuco Coffee Roasters, Hong Kong SAR
Case Study: Rujani Tea – Tippy Reserve
Case Study: Bodhi Organic Tea – SereniTEA
Part 5: Competitive Environment
Leading Companies Share in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies
Leading Companies in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Leading Brands in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Private Label Penetration in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Part 6: Distribution Analysis
Leading Distribution Channels by Country
Leading Distribution Channels by Category
Part 7: Packaging Analysis
Growth Analysis by Key Pack Material and Pack Type
Growth Analysis by Closure Type and Primary Outer Type
Part 8: Challenges and Future Outlook
Key Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Future Outlook of the Asia-Pacific Hot Drinks Sector
Appendix
Definitions

COVID-19: Wealthy nations urged to delay youth vaccines, donate to solidarity scheme
COVID-19: Wealthy nations urged to delay youth vaccines, donate to solidarity scheme

Speaking during WHO’s bi-weekly media briefing, agency chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus reiterated his warning against “vaccine nationalism”, as  low-income nations currently receive a paltry 0.3 per cent of supply. 

‘Trickle down’ strategy 

“In a handful of rich countries, which bought up the majority of the vaccine supply, lower risk groups are now being vaccinated”, he said.

“I understand why some countries want to vaccinate their children and adolescents, but right now I urge them to reconsider and to instead donate vaccines to COVAX.”   

Tedros reported that vaccine supply in low and lower-middle income countries has not been sufficient to even immunize health and care workers.

“Trickle down vaccination is not an effective strategy for fighting a deadly respiratory virus”, he said.

This year could be deadlier

As of Friday, there were more than 160.8 million cases of COVID-19 globally.

The disease “has already cost more than 3.3 million lives and we’re on track for the second year of this pandemic to be far more deadly than the first”, Tedros told journalists.

India remains “hugely concerning”, he said, with several states continuing to see a worrying number of cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand and Egypt are also among countries that are dealing with spikes in cases and hospitalizations. 

“Some countries in the Americas still have high numbers of cases and as a region, the Americas accounted for 40% of all COVID-19 deaths last week. There are also spikes in some countries in Africa.” 

Welcome developments

Tedros stressed that the only way out of the pandemic is through a combination of public health measures and vaccination, not one or the other.

While vaccine supply remains a key challenge, he pointed to new developments this week to address surrounding issues.

Several countries have announced they will share vaccines with COVAX. Other measures include new deals on tech transfers to scale-up vaccine production, and calls by world leaders to lift trade barriers. 

© UNICEF/Sonam Pelden

A grade six student of Drugyel Lower Secondary School in Paro, Bhutan, shows the message on his mask: Heroes wear mask.

Unmasking the pandemic 

With some authorities, including in the United States, lifting policies on wearing masks in public, WHO continues to recommend their use as part of a comprehensive strategy for controlling coronavirus spread.

Dr. Maria van Kerkhove, WHO Technical Lead on COVID-19, explained that mask mandates depend on key factors, principally the intensity of virus transmission in any given area.

“It’s about how much virus is circulating around in a country.  It’s about the amount of vaccines and vaccinations that are rolling out.  It’s about variants of interest, the variants of concern, that are circulating,” she said, responding to a journalist’s question on the updated guidance in the US, issued on Thursday.

“We have to keep all of this in mind when thinking about how to adjust the policies associated with the use of masks.”

Keep masks in the mix 

Dr. Michael Ryan, WHO Executive Director, echoed her statement, adding that “even in situations where you have high vaccine coverage, if you have got a lot of transmission then you wouldn’t take your mask off.” 

While high vaccination coverage should also mean low community transmission of the virus, he said “we are at a point where many countries are facing a situation where the transmission hasn’t completely ended, and people aren’t completely vaccinated.”  

Dr. Ryan said as long as authorities sustain public health measures as they work to increase vaccination, “countries will be in a much stronger position when they do get to high vaccine coverage levels to start saying to people ‘You don’t have to wear a mask anymore.’”

Apeel Acquires Imaging Technology To Unlock The Insights In Every Bite Of Fruit
Apeel Acquires Imaging Technology To Unlock The Insights In Every Bite Of Fruit

Apeel announced its acquisition of ImpactVision for an undisclosed amount. ImpactVision’s hyperspectral imaging technology is soon to be integrated into Apeel application systems at supplier locations around the world — adding a new layer of insights to help fresh food suppliers and retailers further reduce food waste. Apeel’s new imaging technology enables suppliers to see inside and understand the interior quality of fresh produce by collecting quantifiable data on stage of ripeness, freshness, nutritional density, and other indicators of quality. This marks Apeel’s first acquisition and a major step toward quantifying and digitizing produce quality data, with the goal of democratizing this new information for the benefit of Apeel’s partners and the global food system as a whole.

“Our journey began with Apeel’s plant-based protection – an invisible ‘peel’ that addresses the challenge of global food waste by bringing more time to fresh produce before it spoils. Now, we’re expanding our technology to bring to light the previously invisible characteristics of produce, including internal quality, phytonutrient content, and environmental impact,” said James Rogers, CEO of Apeel. “Using the insights enabled by Apeel’s imaging technology, our partners will effectively be able to ‘see’ inside of every fruit and vegetable, quantifying quality as never before, so that the distribution of fresh food can be optimized. For our partners, this will mean less waste and an immediate bottom-line improvement, and ultimately, the ability to one day differentiate produce by making freshness and nutritional content ‘visible’ to the consumer.”

Apeel’s plant-based protection that doubles the shelf life of produce is currently applied to fruits and vegetables via application systems throughout packing houses and distribution centers across North America, South America and Europe. Apeel’s new imaging technology will be added to these systems to collect data-rich images as produce travels along packing house conveyance lines. Acquired images will then be processed through machine learning models that can identify unique visual cues that relate to freshness, degree of maturity, phytonutrient content, and other aspects of fruit quality.

“ImpactVision’s technology can predict internal quality of food products from hyperspectral images. When this ability to ‘see beyond the borders of human vision’ is combined with Apeel’s shelf-life extension technology, the potential to fundamentally transform produce supply chains to reduce post-harvest loss, optimize distribution and lengthen shelf-life is enormous,” said Abi Ramanan, Founder of ImpactVision.

With Apeel’s continued expansion into new produce categories and geographies, the company is poised to capture category-wide datasets across a previously fractured and data-poor landscape, which in turn will help shape new efficiencies and benefits that span across global fresh fruit and vegetable supply chains. Given that 40% of the food grown globally goes to waste, this more robust and holistic understanding of produce quality will allow fresh food suppliers to optimize distribution, thereby reducing food waste, and maximizing the quality that reaches consumers.

For example, suppliers can now know the exact ripening window for each piece of fruit to then sort and ship to geographical locations that will ensure retailers are getting the highest quality produce.

Today, Apeel has 30 supplier integrations on three continents with plans to double that number by the end of 2021. With its imaging technology and positioning in the fresh food supply chain, Apeel is on a path to developing the largest and most comprehensive database of objective fresh produce insights for the global food industry.

About Apeel

Apeel is on a mission to create a more sustainable global food system by using the power of nature to enable longer-lasting produce that fights food waste from farm to kitchen. Apeel produce lasts 2x longer thanks to its plant-based protection made from materials found in the skins, peels and seeds of all fruits and vegetables. Apeel’s protective extra “peel” slows the water loss and oxidation that cause produce to go bad, and is the only proven end-to-end solution for maintaining freshness. Available for organic and conventionally grown produce, Apeel is expanding into an ever-growing number of categories and markets. Good for consumers and the planet, Apeel reduces environmental impacts and gives everyone throughout the supply chain—from growers to retailers to consumers—more time to enjoy fresh produce. Farmers can sell more of what they grow and people can consume more of what they buy, creating a healthier planet and greater abundance for all. Apeel is Food Gone Good.

Apeel is a trademark/registered trademark of Apeel Technology, Inc. in the United States, the European Union, and other jurisdictions.

For More Information:
https://www.apeel.com/

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Q1 2021 Earnings Call Transcript
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Q1 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Bumble Inc. (NASDAQ:BMBL)
Q1 2021 Earnings Call
May 12, 2021, 4:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Bumble Inc. first-quarter 2021 earnings call. [Operator instructions] As a reminder, today’s program may be recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s program, Brinlea Johnson of The Blueshirt Group.

Please go ahead.

Brinlea JohnsonInvestor Relations Contact

Thank you for joining us today to discuss Bumble’s first-quarter 2021 financial results. With me today is Whitney Wolfe Herd, founder and CEO; Tariq Shaukat, president; and Anu Subramanian, CFO of Bumble, before we begin, I’d like to remind everyone that certain statements made on this call today are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties and reflect our current expectations based on our beliefs, assumptions and information currently available to us. Although we believe these expectations are reasonable, we undertake no obligation to revise any statements to reflect changes that occur after this call.

Description of these factors and other risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements are discussed in more detail in our filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10-K as of the year ended December 31, 2020, and our subsequent periodic filings. For purposes of today’s call, comparisons to first-quarter 2020 are based on the company’s results for the combined period of January 1, 2020 to January 28, 2020, and January 29, 2020 to March 31, 2020, during the call, we also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for or in isolation from our GAAP results. Reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures are available in today’s earnings press release, which is available on our investor relations website at ir.bumble.com.

With that, I’ll turn it over to Whitney.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Brinlea, and thank you all for joining our Q1 earnings call. At Bumble, we strive to create a world where all relationships are healthy and equitable. We put safety at the core of everything from product and engineering to marketing, and our commitment to our mission is reflected in our strong first-quarter results. Our mission continues to be reinforced and resonates in a powerful way as the world has been seeking connection, love, friendship and community now more than ever before, both coming out of the pandemic.

And while quarantine still persist around the world, we feel that we serve an incredibly important purpose in helping ease loneliness and helping people find good relationships and community. We are excited with our growth and our continued leadership position in the online dating and connection space. We are motivated by the impact we are having on lives. Hearing stories of people finding love, starting families, building friendships or finding community during times of struggle remains our ultimate driving force.

We believe that we are just at the beginning of our growth and impact journey. We are just scraping the tip of the iceberg of the addressable market for dating and friend-finding around the world, and our international growth suggests that our message resonates across cultures and languages. We believe that the friendship space is the next social growth horizon, and we believe we are uniquely positioned to be the leader in that category as we’ve invested years into building a brand and product that women and all genders trust. Our meticulous focus on shaping our marketing, product and brand narrative over the years has created a natural and seamless bridge for users to move from dating to friendship and for those who are not speaking love, coming to Bumble for platonic relationships.

This is a first in our space and a strong competitive advantage. Before we dive into our earnings, I want to take a moment to acknowledge the hardship millions of people around the world are still facing around COVID. Countries like India and Brazil are in the midst of some of the worst COVID surges of the pandemic. This devastating wave has decimated the healthcare system and sent these nations into crisis.

Our hearts go out to our teams, family and friends in these countries and everyone else impacted by this ongoing tragedy, and we hope for their speedy recovery. Now let’s move on to a recap of our earnings. Building on the momentum we saw in the second half of last year, our first-quarter revenue increased 43% year over year to $171 million with Bumble app revenue growth of 61%. Our paying users were up 30% year over year, demonstrating our continued ability to grow our community.

Adjusted EBITDA was $46 million, which represented a 27% margin. Our results and first-quarter momentum validate the strength of our women-first brand and our mission. It’s the power of our brand and mission that has been a core differentiator from us — for us since day one. It cannot be replicated by anyone else’s product feature or a clever ad campaign.

It is unique only to Bumble, and it’s why our new and repeat customers are so deeply invested in our brand. Throughout the quarter, we were able to combine mission, safety and women-focused narratives in a manner that drove notable growth across our markets. This approach was key in helping us maintain our leadership position in the first quarter. Thinking ahead, we continue to be focused on growing globally, making strategic investments in product, safety, technology and marketing that drives scale and monetization and an improving profitability.

We will also continue to invest in our brands. Our users connect deeply with our brands, making them powerful marketing tools, which generate word-of-mouth, virality and powerful network effects, thus, driving user growth and strong unit economics. Our strong performance in Q1 is a direct result of these initiatives. During Q1, our team continued to demonstrate innovation across both Bumble and Badoo apps that drove notable growth in user engagement and retention, which, in turn, led to strong growth in our paying user, which averaged $2.8 million for the quarter.

On Bumble app, for example, we added 150-plus new badges with categories ranging from values and traits to traveling, enabling our members to highlight what’s important to them. The badges act as useful indicators for compatibility. And over 40% of newly registered members adopted these badges, and we saw two times more matches for these users. We also added a profile barometer, which shows a member’s progress toward completing their profile, thereby incentivizing them to fill out their profile further.

Enhancements like these improve overall user experience while helping to drive member engagement and retention. Similarly, for Badoo, we introduced several features that improve the experience of our users, specifically women. For example, we introduced casual let-down, which offers an easy way for women to express male members that they are not interested in progressing with their connection. This has resulted in improvement in day one retention for new women members.

Safety and accountability are at the foundation of our business and have been from the very beginning. In line with the central commitment to prioritizing safety, in January, we launched our safety center, giving members access to articles, resources and partnerships related to their physical and psychological safety. This is a key step in reiterating our mission around safety and in ensuring that all users uphold our values of kindness, respect and equality. We also instituted new community guidelines that explicitly ban body shaming on our app.

Bumble’s mission has always been to build a platform rooted in respect and kindness. And this is another industry-leading step to make our app safer for our community. We also continue to advocate for our customers beyond just our platforms with an active focus and approach to legislation and hopes of making the Internet a safer and kinder place for everyone. We also remain focused on expanding beyond dating into new social categories.

As previously discussed, we are planning to increase our focus this year on our friend discovery platform, Bumble BFF and are accelerating our efforts around product development. This work is ongoing, and we are just in the early stages. Over 90% of women who initiated contact in BFF in March found at least one match. And during Q1, the average time spent on BFF has grown 44% for women and 83% for men.

We see a huge opportunity here. BFF is for people looking for community and friendship through many life stages. And as we see evidence of this today in the high engagement, we find in several new communities such as the young professional community, the parenting community, divorce phase, women going through menopause, as well as people who have found their successful romantic partners on Bumble but who are now looking for new friends. We are committed to moderation, safety, inclusivity and accountability being at the helm of the relaunch of this product, and we look forward to updating you on our progress later this year.

Now let’s briefly talk about how we are improving monetization. ARPPU for the group in Q1 was up 13% year over year. As we mentioned on our last earnings call, Bumble Premium, our second revenue tier, is live globally in iOS. In Q1, we continued to roll out of Bumble Premium to Android users with Australia, U.K., Canada and the U.S.

now fully live. We continue to be pleased with the results that we have seen so far. There has been a positive impact on ARPPU in all core markets with the opportunity to optimize even further. We remain on target to complete the global rollout by the end of 2021.

In addition to our work on pricing tiers, we continue to experiment with other ways to improve and enhance our monetization offerings. For example, one of the new features that we are testing on Bumble is advanced filters. These enable our paying users to better customize their results by specifying their preferences. We are also experimenting with next-generation consumables, which have the potential to both increase revenue and drive new types of engagement.

On Badoo, we are testing a number of in-app purchase features which will bring more visibility for our users, helping them get to a match faster. Building our brand organically is central to growing our user community, regionally and globally. We do this by taking a very granular and grassroots approach. We focus on building our communities in each city and also in speaking directly to distinct groups of users.

Our Find Them on Bumble campaign deployed in a city-specific manner in places, such as New York, Los Angeles and Sydney, emphasizes the depth of our network within different markets. Similarly, we have leveraged our strength in tailoring our product and marketing efforts to the unique needs of each of our users to create a diverse and inclusive community within Bumble. For example, we’re seeing our LGBTQ user growth substantially outpace the average in both Western Europe and the U.S. We continue to adapt to the impact COVID has had in our business and in the dating world.

We introduced a dedicated section where matched members can showcase their preferences for dating during COVID. They can say prefer park or masks on, etc. We also tested our first virtual dating solution, allowing members to get to know each other in a fun and safe way. A Night In is an in-app date where matches can schedule a video date and trivia night with each other.

While it’s still early, we are seeing a terrific response from our users. A large number of our video chats now include a Night In experience. And 87% of our Night In users have said that they would use this experience again. We are focusing on taking the learnings to build a more comprehensive set of dating experiences for our customers.

Despite lockdowns in many regions throughout Q1, we continue to see very rapid growth and momentum for Bumble throughout Western Europe, particularly in Germany and France. MAU in Germany, for example, was up 160% year over year, and our relaunch in France this week has already driven positive results. We have leveraged this playbook in regions, such as The Netherlands and Brazil. This just reinforces that Bumble is needed and wanted around the world.

However, the uncertainty around the pandemic and the differences we see from country to country in terms of lockdowns and vaccine distributions are still vast. We are constantly speaking to our users around the world and listening to how they are dealing with the ongoing situation so that we can better understand our plans as the pandemic conditions evolve. We saw, for example, that the stimulus checks in the U.S. led to a temporary acceleration in revenue from both our Bumble and Badoo users.

Lifting of the restrictions in the U.K. resulted in stronger engagement from both our existing users, as well as an increase in payers and daily active users. This and other similar examples lead us to believe that there is meaningful pent-up demand as economic and health conditions improve across regions. We’ve leaned into these pockets of optimism and relief with our marketing campaign, You’ve Got This, in the U.K.

and Western Europe, helping our users build the confidence to start thinking about dating again once restrictions start to ease. We would caution, however, that the situation does remain very fluid and somewhat unpredictable on the ground, and our focus is on being able to respond quickly and effectively when our users begin to want to meet in person while continuing to serve those who continue to be heavily impacted by the pandemic. Regardless of pandemic conditions, people around the world want and need to find love and connection, and Bumble will continue to be there for them. In conclusion, we are focused on making strategic investments in growing our community, product, safety and technology to capitalize on the large market opportunities that exist.

Bumble is more than our app. Our mission is powering the movement, building healthy and equitable relationships for all. With that, thank you so much for your time. And I will now turn it over to Anu to discuss our financial performance.

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Thank you, Whitney, and hello, everyone. Thank you again for joining us. I will start with a review of our first-quarter earnings and key highlights and then turn to our outlook for the year. I’m pleased to report that we had a very strong Q1.

Total revenue in the quarter grew to $171 million, an increase of 43% year over year with total paying users growing by 30% and group ARPPU growing to $19.99, an increase of 13% year over year. As a reminder, revenue in Q1 2020 was impacted by a $9 million reduction in deferred revenue recorded in purchase accounting. Bumble app revenue was $113 million for the quarter, representing growth of 61% year over year. This growth was driven by a healthy combination of increase in paying users as well as ARPPU.

Bumble app paying users increased 44% year over year. We continue to see strong growth in both North America, where we also saw paying users rise sequentially, as well as in our international region. We rolled out several monetization and product features throughout the second half of 2020, as well as some new features like advanced filters in Q1 2021 that contributed to this growth. Bumble apps ARPPU increased 12% year over year.

It remained flat sequentially due to fewer days in the quarter compared to Q4, as well as due to a higher mix of payers in our international markets. We continued the rollout of Bumble Premium for Android in Q1, and we continue to see a positive impact on our ARPPU in these launch countries. Badoo app and other revenue was $58 million in Q1, which was up 18% year over year. Similar to Bumble, this growth was driven by strong improvements in payer penetration with paying users up 19% year over year with strong contributions from countries, such as Brazil, Russia and the United States.

Throughout the quarter, we have been working on reoptimizing core features, such as boot camp and extra shows, which have driven these improvements in payer penetration. Badoo app ARPPU increased by 4% year over year. Let’s move on to expenses in the quarter, which we will discuss on an adjusted basis, excluding the impact of stock-based compensation and one-time transaction-related costs. Our cost of revenue was flat year over year at 27% of revenue.

Sales and marketing expenses in the quarter were 24% of revenue, down from 32% in Q1 2020. Although our cost as a percentage of revenue has declined, our total investment has increased demonstrating our ability to create operating leverage as revenue scale. We remain focused on attracting new users, both in North America and internationally, with campaigns such as Find Them on Bumble performing well in Q1. G&A spend reduced slightly to 12% of revenue compared to 13% in 2020.

This was due to lower spend on travel and entertainment and office-related expenses. Adjusted EBITDA grew to $46 million, and our adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 27%. During the quarter, we booked $46 million in stock-based compensation expense, which was up from $6 million in Q1 2020. This increase was due to a modification of our stock awards, as well as the acceleration of certain performance criteria being met post IPO.

In Q1, we recorded a positive net earnings, which included a one-time $442 million tax benefit related to the release of a net deferred tax liability. This reversal resulted from a restructuring of our international operations that we completed in connection with the IPO. After our successful public offering in Q1, we used part of our IPO proceeds to repay $200 million of our incremental term loan in March, and we ended Q1 with a total cash of $246 million. Moving on to our financial outlook for next year — for next quarter and the rest of the year.

2021 is still an unpredictable year given the uncertainties around COVID. The news around the vaccine rollout is definitely promising, and we will continue to monitor how this impacts different regions and countries. Our outlook is a realistic reflection of the product features we expect to launch and the market expansions we have planned for this year. We are keeping a close eye on market conditions and reopening.

And if we see opportunities, we will look to accelerate investments in areas such as marketing as appropriate. So with that background, for Q2, we expect revenue of $175 million to $178 million, representing a growth rate of 31% at the midpoint of the range. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $42 million to $44 million, which represents a margin of 24% at the midpoint. For full-year 2021, we are raising our guidance for both revenue and EBITDA.

We expect revenue in the range of $724 million to $734 million, a growth rate of 25% at the midpoint of the range. For adjusted EBITDA, we expect $177 million to $182 million, which represents an EBITDA margin of 25% at the midpoint. In conclusion, we had a strong start to the year. Our Q1 performance reflects the growth in our community and the investments we are making in capturing the vast market share that is ahead of us.

We feel confident in the strength of our business, our ability to grow users, monetize and deliver results. And with that, operator, we’d be happy to turn to Q&A.

Questions & Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Shweta Khajuria from Evercore. Your question, please.

Shweta KhajuriaEvercore ISI — Analyst

OK. Thank you. This is Shweta at Evercore. Can you please talk about engagement trends? I mean, you touched on this, Whitney, but would love to get a little bit more detail on how you saw engagement and user propensity to pay sort of trend in United States as the economy here was more open than perhaps India or Brazil or Europe? And anything that really stuck out to you, not only in Q1, but Q2 so far? And then the second question is, are you making any — you talked about pent-up demand.

So is the impact of the reopen and pent-up demand baked into your full-year guidance? If so, could you please help us frame that.

Tariq ShaukatPresident

This is Tariq. I’ll take the first part of the question and then turn it over to Anu for the second part. I think, as Whitney mentioned, we are definitely seeing signs of increased engagement in the U.S. as the — both the economy gets a little bit better and as vaccinations rollout and the health situation improves.

We have seen particularly — we have a large installed base, and we’ve seen a trend up in the reengagement level. So that means users who had opted out during the pandemic starting to come back in, that is definitely fueling the active users that we have on the platform, and that is something that we’ve seen be very strong in Q1, continue to be strong in Q2. We’re also seeing engagement on the platform itself from existing users continue to trend up as well. The number of messages sent, for example, was up about 10% year over year in Q1 versus the pre-COVID level.

So we’re definitely seeing high levels of engagement in the U.S., improving levels of engagement in the U.S., more people coming into the market. I think what is still very clear and would, I think, temper those statements is that it is very much a local phenomena. And it really is city by city, county by county, state by state because of just the economic situation. I think you see this not just in our data, but if you looked at what OpenTable publishes around restaurant reservations, how much people are meeting up in person, you’re seeing it very, very much by city.

We’re seeing that same trend. So we are optimistic about things as vaccinations continue to roll out as the economies continue to reopen, but it is, I think, still a little touching on exactly when is that going to happen. That’s the U.S. point.

I think just probably pre-empt the question a little bit on globally, we’re also seeing very similar trends. Globally, if you look at markets that are reopening have high levels of vaccination or reopening in other ways, you are starting to see very positive trends as well. We’re seeing very rapid growth in countries like Israel as an example, with a very high vaccination rate. The U.K.

has trended up as they’ve started to relax the lockdown that they have had in the U.K. And so we are definitely seeing that notion of pent-up demand. We do hear from our users that there’s almost a historic level of pent-up demand out there. There is a real need to go out and meet people.

People are just trying to figure out when is it going to be safe to do so, and they’re taking advantage when they have the opportunity to do that. I think the final point on COVID would be that we are seeing very high levels of engagement now during the pandemic, and we are seeing more people essentially come into the market as these markets liberalize or — it’s probably the wrong word, as they open up somewhat. And so we do believe that the engagement gains that we have seen through the pandemic are continuing to be sticky and will hopefully continue to play well for us as markets open up. Anu, do you want to take the second part?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yeah. In terms of the second question around what is built into our outlook, like I said earlier, what we’ve included today in our outlook is a realistic reflection of what we expect to happen in the second half. As we have said before, we have international expansion plans that are built into our forecast for this year. And that’s what you see reflected in the numbers.

Just as a reminder, we had an extremely robust second half in 2020. And our growth rates, for example, in Q3 and Q4 were close to 30%. So as you think about year-over-year growth rates for second year — second half of ’21 versus ’20, that is also an important fact to take into account.

Shweta KhajuriaEvercore ISI — Analyst

OK. Thanks, Anu. Thanks, Tariq.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Nick Jones from Citi. Your question, please.

Nick JonesCiti — Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess could you maybe drill down a little bit into the nondating solutions? BFF sounds like is there an incremental investment. It’s maybe more than we kind of thought from last quarter.

And then I thought the comment on next-generation consumables was interesting. Could you expand a little bit more on that opportunity?

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question. So friendship is a huge opportunity, as we discussed earlier, and it has not been tapped yet, not even to the degree of where we believe it will go. If you think about where online dating was back in, call it, 2012, the demand is there for community and friend-finding.

And we’ve seen that just by way of the daters in our product, looking for friends in this authentic and organic way. So when we talk about the investment we’re making, first and foremost, we’re doing a product relaunch, a major product relaunch that is currently in the works. And we cannot disclose too much more information as it is currently being worked on. But we really fundamentally believe that once the product is in a place that it is, A, tailored and designed to be used for friend-finding in a seamless way and is really reinvested in properly and then marketed in line with that, we think that we are going to see a huge surge in those coming to find platonic connections.

So as it goes — as far as investment in this goes, we cannot disclose any more details, but I can tell you it’s a high priority for us internally across all of our teams.

Tariq ShaukatPresident

And then the point on consumables. There’s a couple of different things going on here. The first is that we do recognize that as a premium app, there’s a psychological barrier almost to getting people to consider us to be a paid experience as opposed to just a great experience. And we do believe, particularly in some countries in Asia, as well as in other parts of the world, that a consumable-based model as a gateway into the subscriptions is really important and will drive up subscriber rates over time.

And so part of the consumable strategy that you’re hearing us talk about is really anchored in that notion. I think the second is that we do believe that there are elements of the experience that we can add to by offering new value-added services that just don’t lend themselves to a subscription type of model. We already have SuperSwipes, as an example, in the product where you can swipe to increase visibility. We think there’s other fun playful ways that you can also make yourself stand out just a little bit more in the experience, and so we’re in testing on both Bumble and Badoo around a range of those different opportunities.

We think those would add both ARPU and as I say, over time, we believe, also add to subscriber rates growing as well.

Nick JonesCiti — Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Cory Carpenter for J.P. Morgan. Your question, please.

Cory CarpenterJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

All right. Noted. I will cut my question down to one. So just hoping you could talk more about Bumble app product in general.

Certainly, I want to hear about the premium tier, how the rollout is going or the adoptions relative to your expectations and the type of ARPU and renewal rates you’re seeing and then also just beyond premium, the broader product road map and your plans for the rest of the year.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Anu is going to take the first half of that question, and then I’ll jump in on broader product plans.

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. Cory, so with respect to Bumble Premium, as we said, we started to launch Android in — across the globe, and we’ve launched it in four countries so far. I’d mentioned last time we spoke that we saw strong adoption in November and December when we launched in iOS. We’ve seen similar numbers for Android as well.

So we continue to be pleased with how the rollout is going. Obviously, we still have a long way to go in terms of finishing our rollout. So more to come on that as we go through that this year.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Great. And then as far as broader product rollout, we are really looking and listening to the customer. This is fundamental to us.

We are asking the customer, what do you want out of this experience. And life has evolved over the last one-and-a-half years with this pandemic and needs have changed. And so continuously reinvesting in the transition from the stay-at-home life to going back to IRL dating and really making sure that we are at the forefront of engineering a safe, accountable but also seamless experience and allowing people to tailor what they’re looking for and to be really granular on the customer. So an 18-year-old is looking for something very different than a woman in her mid-50s might be looking for.

And so the future of Bumble product is to be really tailored to the customer and to give them what they’re looking for from the experience. I think one of our strengths is that we really listen to the customer. This is something we spend a lot of time on, and this is what we’ll continue to guide us as we evolve our product features and road maps going forward.

Cory CarpenterJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

Thank you both.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Blackledge from Cowen. Your question, please.

John BlackledgeCowen and Company — Analyst

Great. thank you. I think one of the big expansion initiatives for Bumble app is linked non-English-speaking markets, growing that penetration. Just curious if you can provide any color there on how that was going.

Tariq ShaukatPresident

Sure. So as you mentioned, for Bumble, we have really been emphasizing expansion into Western Europe for the first quarter and continuing in the second quarter. We are seeing, as Whitney and Anu mentioned, tremendous growth, not just in Germany, but in the whole region of Europe. For the German-speaking markets, we are seeing very, very strong growth in the triple digits year over year.

In France, continuing very strong growth in the Benelux region as well. And in parts of Northern Europe, we’re continuing to accelerate our investment there as well. So as we think about the non-English-speaking markets in Europe, we’re very, very pleased with the progress that we’re seeing both in the monthly active users, as well as payer penetration in those markets. We are also continuing to invest and see — into pockets of Southeast Asia, we are seeing very strong active user numbers out of markets like Indonesia and the Philippines.

We’re seeing also very strong growth out of areas in Latin America, like Mexico, like Brazil. And so we really do think that the first quarter and what we’re seeing so far in the second quarter are continuing to highlight the fact that the Bumble value proposition really is not “just” an English-speaking markets phenomenon but really does apply in both Western Europe and Southeast Asia, including in majority Muslim countries like Indonesia and in Latin America. So we’re very happy with that, and we’ll be continuing our investment there.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. And just to add one final note on that. I think this just really goes to show what we’ve been saying for years. Women universally are looking for healthy, respectful and equitable connections relationships.

And the brand we have built resonates around the world as does the product. And this is really being proven, as Tariq suggested, in a bevy of countries, and we’re super excited about the runway ahead of us. And again, we’re very early in our international growth story, and that’s definitely something we’re incredibly excited about as the quarters continue.

John BlackledgeCowen and Company — Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Lauren Schenk from Morgan Stanley. Your question, please.

Lauren SchenkMorgan Stanley — Analyst

Great. Thanks so much. Just wondering if there’s sort of any incremental color you can give on how we should think about Bumble apps versus Badoo revenue within the second-quarter guidance? And then sort of within that paying user versus ARPU trends for the Bumble app?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Sure. Thanks, Lauren. I can take that. So I think the way — I’ll start with the second part of your question first.

I think we’ve said for both Bumble and Badoo growing paying users is a huge area of focus for us. So for both of these apps, we will be doing a lot of work from a product perspective to improve our payer penetration and consequently increase paying users. So that is definitely something that is ongoing in Q2 and is reflected in the numbers that we are looking at. In terms of ARPPU, obviously, Bumble Premium is still to be launched in Android in many parts of the world.

So that is definitely something that we expect to impact our people for Bumble in Q2. For Badoo, I don’t think we don’t have any big ARPPU initiatives that are planned for Q2. But for Bumble, certainly, the growth is building.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Deepak Mathivanan from Wolfe Research. Your question, please.

Deepak MathivananWolfe Research — Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask about customer acquisition. The advertising pricing seems to be increasing pretty high in various channels, obviously, as many sectors start to come back.

But for you guys, I know you have a high organic traffic mix, but how was your paid marketing strategy changing right now, if at all? And then how should we think about the levels of marketing spend for the rest of the year?

Tariq ShaukatPresident

Sure. I’ll give that a try. I think — as you mentioned, a lot of our customer acquisition, almost 80% or so of our new customers comes in because of organic means. And so that would be word-of-mouth, our brand activities or influencer activities, that sort of thing.

And so that, in part, does insulate us from the ad increases that you are seeing in a number of channels out there. So that is something that we think from a strategic standpoint, we’re continuing to lean into. We are — we have a very nimble marketing team on the performance marketing side, it’s a little complicated with the rollout of iOS 14.5 and the IDFA changes that are happening right now. It’s too early to tell what impact we’re seeing from that, but we do — we are keeping a close eye on it, and I think we’ll be shifting channels as we get more data coming out of that.

So there’s really no material changes at the moment that we are doing beyond the day-to-day optimization, but it’s still quite early to tell with some of these changes that Apple is rolling out and what the impact of that is going to be.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Egbert from Stifel. Your question, please.

John EgbertStifel Financial Corp. — Analyst

Great. Thank you. So as you roll out Bumble Premium across new international markets, have you been tinkering with price points and/or feature sets for the premium memberships as you gauge the receptiveness from users in those markets? And just as an extension of that, like do you, in general, see noticeable differences in demand for specific premium features or consumable items when you look at one market versus another?

Tariq ShaukatPresident

So certainly, the focus at the moment is rolling out premium as a package globally. And we do — I think — to use your word, tinker with the price point, right, to just understand what is the elasticity in any given market, what’s the willingness to pay in different markets, that sort of thing. We have a pretty constant optimization effort around that geared toward optimizing revenue, not payer penetration or ARPPU per se. But that is work that our revenue team does day in and day out, and it is more focused at the moment on the price point and payer penetration optimization, not as much on the feature set.

I do think that part of the consumable strategy that we talked about earlier is to give a little more flexibility by market because we do see different markets where the behavior is different and to use a perhaps slightly off-topic example, but we do know in some markets like India, as an example, BFF has is a strong on ramp into the date product. And so there are different products that we believe we can offer there to make the on ramp into online dating just easier versus a market where it’s more normalized like in the U.S. And so we are probably looking at the consumables more for that feature set tinkering than the subscriptions themselves right now.

John EgbertStifel Financial Corp. — Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Dan Salmon from BMO Capital Markets. Your question, please.

Daniel SalmonBMO Capital Markets — Analyst

Whitney, one of the strengths of Bumble always been its core position in safety and trust among dating applications, whether it was first message for women, photo verification, lots of different things. Now we see your competitors investing a little bit more heavily in this area. Another public company disclosing $100 million invested in this area earlier. Do you believe safety and trust is becoming more table stakes at this stage? And is your traditional differentiation here more or less important going forward?

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

And thanks so much for the question. I’m glad you asked. This is so important to us. So a little bit like a brand, trust and safety have to be incredibly genuine, authentic and foundational, right? And I’m certainly not putting anybody down.

I’m just highlighting our strength here. And from day one, everything we have done has come with a certain requirement, and that is safety. That is protecting the women customer and inherently protecting all customers. This has been so core to the way we have engineered the product in every feature from day one that it is just seamless and it’s natural and it’s authentic.

And so we don’t need to carve out a certain bucket of investment to go and add this on top of our foundation. This is what we do. Every investment we make is safety. Everything we do is about protecting the customer, fighting for equality and fighting for a kind or more accountable ecosystem environment and Internet.

And when it’s authentic and natural, it doesn’t have to be an additional investment. It’s just part of our daily process, and so I think what you’ll see moving forward is just more from us, right? Every move we make, every road map we put out there, every marketing agenda we have is rooted in kindness, accountability and safety, and this is why our brand is our brand. And that’s ultimately to one of the earlier questions about the marketing mix, the payer mix on advertising and organic. This is why Bumble grows organically because we have trust from the customer because we have done this from day one, and it’s who we are.

Daniel SalmonBMO Capital Markets — Analyst

That’s great. Thanks, Whitney.

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Koenig from SMBC. Your question, please.

Steve KoenigSMBC Nikko Securities — Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. So this is the quarter that we are starting to see your ARPPU pickup versus the growth last year was driven all really by paying users. Can you just give us more color on some of the things that are helping that and kind of what you expect? And is most of that the Bumble Premium tier? Or are there other things that are helping there as well?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yes. I can take that. So yes, absolutely. I think Bumble Premium, we launched it in Q4 of last year, and it has been a stand-out product for us.

It has been — for now, it is definitely an ARPPU people for us. We’ve talked often in the past about how we would like for that to become an enabler for getting more people into the funnel. But right now, we are very focused on ensuring that people that are on our lower-price tier, which was called Bumble Boost are now moving to the Bumble Premium. And more than two-thirds of our customers today are on Bumble Premium, and that is really what you see reflected in the ARPPU numbers that you see.

Steve KoenigSMBC Nikko Securities — Analyst

Great. Thanks, Anu, and congrats on the quarter.

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Ng from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.

Michael NgGoldman Sachs — Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you very much for the question. I was just wondering if you could provide your latest thoughts on the future of mobile platform fees.

And could you just remind us what you’re assuming for changes to the Google Play Store in the guidance?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yeah. Mike, so we are continuing to have discussions with Google about the proposed Google Play change, which is expected to happen in Q4 of this year. And our conversations are still ongoing, and things are still fluid in terms of what that would actually look like once we get to October. So we’ll provide more details in terms of specifics as we have them.

Our current guidance does assume on the lower end that any impact from Google Play — it has built in the impact from Google Play.

Michael NgGoldman Sachs — Analyst

Great. Thank you, Anu.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brent Thill from Jefferies. Your question, please.

Brent ThillJefferies — Analyst

Thanks. Anu, on just the guide, I think there’s a lot of questions. You had a 43% growth in Q1, yet you’re guiding the full year to 25%. I think we all recognize the back half of the year gets harder.

But when you beat by $6 million and you rise the guide by $8 million and given the overall demand environment is improving, I think everyone is just trying to understand, is there something that’s happening that you’re not seeing fall through because I think many would think that environments opening and you can hear in the tone of everyone on the call that things are better. But why not the fall through in terms of your overall view for the back half of the year?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yeah. Sure. Like I said in my remarks, I think our outlook reflects our current view of what we are seeing. We are staying cautiously optimistic.

I think like Tariq mentioned earlier, there isn’t always a perfect correlation between when a market opens up and when people actually start engaging actively in the dating ecosystem. So things are still pretty fluid across many markets. So we just have to sort of see how things go. We feel good about where you do it.

And that’s reflected in the guide that you see here for Q2. And like I said earlier, Q3 and Q4, we do have difficult comps, just given the phenomenal growth we had in the second half, and we start lapping a lot of monetization features that we rolled out starting in Q2 of 2020. So that is the reasoning and thinking behind the numbers that you see in front of you today.

Brent ThillJefferies — Analyst

Thank you for the color.

Operator

Thank you. And our final question for today comes from the line of Andrew Marok from Raymond James. Your question, please.

Andrew MarokRaymond James — Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Badoo specifically, can you talk about the drivers behind the ARPPU growth in 1Q, and if there’s anything specific to call out there? And just in general, how you’re thinking about product innovation and pricing optimization or monetization for Badoo specifically.

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Tariq, do you want to start with the product stuff?

Tariq ShaukatPresident

Sure. I think the important thing to note about Badoo is that we believe the Badoo user is typically more middle class and emerging middle-class user around the world, and we do believe that they have been economically more impacted by COVID than the average Bumble user, as an example. And so we do see that in different parts of the world, we are seeing that that Badoo user be more challenged, both economically, that gets into appetite to pay, etc., that we’re seeing on Badoo. I’ll let Anu speak specifically to the trends that we have there, again, with the testing that we have on consumables is to make sure that we’ve got lower price point on ramps for people in some of those markets to start having that value-added experience without necessarily having to opt in to the full subscription on day one.

And so that is certainly a piece of it. I think as we think about the Badoo value proposition moving forward, where we’re leaning in with the product, it very much is anchored in this notion that as the economy gets better, as the health situation gets better in a range of different markets, a lot of the users are already out there, they are, in many cases, essential workers, they are people who are out and above, but they are trying to meet people. They’re trying to burst out of this area of loneliness. And so the value proposition around location, around speed of contact, around the ability to connect seamlessly and easily on Badoo is something we’re really leaning into.

We think that serves a really unique need in the market, particularly in these times when a lot of our users do feel and their work stressed and stretched and a number of different things like that and mostly. And we’re trying to make sure that we have that low stress environment where they can again connect quickly and easily with somebody to burst out of that circle of loneliness. And Anu, do you want to speak to the next piece?

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Yeah. In terms of the actual ARPPU growth, I think there is a little bit of the benefit of the deferred revenue from last year that is reflected in those numbers. So you see that. And then I think the points that Tariq made around optimization work that we’re doing with consumables, especially in some of the Badoo markets that are less hit by COVID, like, for example, Russia, where consumables — we’re tweaking it on with our products there.

So that is what you’re seeing in our ARPPU number is reflected.

Operator

Does that answer your question?

Andrew MarokRaymond James — Analyst

Yes. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 53 minutes

Call participants:

Brinlea JohnsonInvestor Relations Contact

Whitney Wolfe HerdFounder and Chief Executive Officer

Anu SubramanianChief Executive Officer

Shweta KhajuriaEvercore ISI — Analyst

Tariq ShaukatPresident

Nick JonesCiti — Analyst

Cory CarpenterJ.P. Morgan — Analyst

John BlackledgeCowen and Company — Analyst

Lauren SchenkMorgan Stanley — Analyst

Deepak MathivananWolfe Research — Analyst

John EgbertStifel Financial Corp. — Analyst

Daniel SalmonBMO Capital Markets — Analyst

Steve KoenigSMBC Nikko Securities — Analyst

Michael NgGoldman Sachs — Analyst

Brent ThillJefferies — Analyst

Andrew MarokRaymond James — Analyst

More BMBL analysis

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                                        This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.
First Person: ‘God save us from famine’
First Person: ‘God save us from famine’

“At the beginning of the war, my children and I were forced to flee our home, and move in with relatives in another part of Aden. The conflict affected all of us: my community, my family, and me. It took many people I was close to. It took away our youth and made our children grow up too soon. 

I worked as a nurse from 2003 to 2011, and then I trained in nutrition, specialising in breastfeeding. Since then I have been able to return home to Al Tawahi, to work in the nutrition clinic, and for about eight years I have been working in the malnutrition unit.

Life is getting harder

Malnutrition in Yemen has increased dramatically since the beginning of the war. Food prices are increasing with each new day, diseases are everywhere, life is becoming harder every day.

In the current situation the cost of food is very high, and there are people who can’t buy cheese or eggs for their children, or can’t find anything to eat at all. 

Those of us who are lucky enough to have salaried work can’t cope with the situation: I can’t imagine what it’s like for those who don’t get a monthly pay cheque.

We pray to God to save us from famine. All those who face poverty and hunger are exhausted. When I see a child, who is suffering from malnutrition, I find them very weak, in the beginning. When a child has malnutrition, they become less active and lethargic, and they lag behind others in their education level. 

If you could see them, your heart would break. When I look at them, I imagine my son in this position. Imagine having a seven-month-old child weighing just three kilograms. When I try to weigh them, I find it difficult to carry them. I ask the mothers how they are managing, and they tell me that they rely on God. 

Doing something good for humanity

When a mother brings in a child suffering from malnutrition, I provide nutrition treatment, and advise her to bring them back the following week. When she returns, and I see the child has gained weight, and is looking healthier with filled out cheeks, I feel relieved.

I love working in the clinic. My heart aches when I see children crying from pain or hunger, but I can make a positive difference, helping the mothers, and put a smile on the face of the children. 

On Tuesday, UN chief António Guterres called Ms. El-Sayeed Ali, in a bid to highlight the dire situation in Yemen with the looming famine and to call for increased international support especially with the lack of funding to humanitarian efforts in Yemen.


Genetic Risk of Heart Disease May Be Due to Low Omega 3-Linked Biomarker Found in Fish Oils
Genetic Risk of Heart Disease May Be Due to Low Omega 3-Linked Biomarker Found in Fish Oils

Omega-3 Food Sources

People who are genetically more likely to suffer from cardiovascular diseases may benefit from boosting a biomarker found in fish oils, a new study suggests.

In a genetic study in 1,886 Asian Indians published in PLOS ONE today (Wednesday, May 12, 2021), scientists have identified the first evidence for the role of adiponectin, an obesity-related biomarker, in the association between a genetic variation called omentin and cardiometabolic health.

The team, led by Professor Vimal Karani from the University of Reading, observed that the role of adiponectin was linked to cardiovascular disease markers that were independent of common and central obesity among the Asian Indian population.

Prof Vimal Karani, Professor of Nutrigenetics and Nutrigenomics at the University of Reading said:

“This is an important insight into one way that people who are not obese may develop heart disease, through low concentrations of a biomarker in the body called adiponectin. It may also demonstrate why certain lifestyle factors such as consumption of oily fish and regular exercise are so important for warding off the risk of heart disease.

“We studied Asian Indian populations who have a particular genetic risk of developing heart disease and did see that the majority of our participants were already cardiometabolically unhealthy. However, the omentin genetic variation that we studied is prevalent across diverse ethnic groups and warrants further work to see whether omentin is playing a role in heart disease risk in other groups too.”

The Asian Indian population who took part in the study were found to have a significant association between low levels of adiponectin and cardiovascular disease, even after adjusting for factors normally linked with heart disease.

Participants in the study were screened and assessed based on a range of cardiovascular measures including BMI, fasting blood sugar, and cholesterol, and more than 80% of those who took part being assessed as cardiometabolically unhealthy.

Further analysis showed that those with genetic variation in omentin production also had less of the biomarker adiponectin in their body.

Professor Vimal Karani said:

“What we can see clearly from the observations is that there is a three-stage process going on where the omentin gene difference is contributing to the low biomarker adiponectin, which in turn seems to be linked to worse outcomes and risk of heart disease.

“The omentin gene itself works to produce a protein in the body that has been shown to have anti-inflammatory and cardioprotective effects, and variations in the omentin gene have previously linked to cardiometabolic diseases. The findings suggests that people can develop cardiometabolic diseases due to this specific omentin genetic risk, if they have low levels the biomarker adiponectin.”

Reference: 12 May 2021, PLOS ONE.
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238555

Funding: The Chennai Willingdon Corporate Foundation supported the CURES field studies.

Top COVID probe urges bold overhaul of pandemic prevention measures 
Top COVID probe urges bold overhaul of pandemic prevention measures 

“Our message is simple and clear: the current system failed to protect us from the COVID-19 pandemic”, said former Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, co-chair of the Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. “If we do not act to change it now, it will not protect us from the next pandemic threat, which could happen at any time.” 

Launched by WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the independent panel issued its findings and recommendations after an eight-month review of lessons learned from the past year. 

Insufficient protection 

“The tools are available to put an end to the severe illnesses, deaths, and socio-economic damage caused by COVID-19”, said panel co-chair Helen Clark, former Prime Minister of New Zealand, insisting that leaders “have no choice but to act” to stop such a catastrophe happening again.   

 “The current system – at both national and international levels – was not adequate to protect people from COVID-19. The time it took from the reporting of a cluster of cases of pneumonia of unknown origin in mid-late December 2019 to a Public Health Emergency of International Concern being declared, was too long,” the panel said in a statement on its report, COVID-19: Make it the Last Pandemic.  

‘Lost month’ 

The panel – whose report contains “the authoritative chronology of what happened” – also insisted that February 2020 was “a lost month”. 

This was because “many more countries” could have done more to contain the spread of the new coronavirus after the WHO declared a public health emergency of international concern on 30 January, after the initial outbreak in Wuhan, China. 

“The shelves of storage rooms in the UN and national capitals are full of reports and reviews of previous health crises. Had their warnings been heeded, we would have avoided the catastrophe we are in today. This time must be different,” said Johnson Sirleaf. 

Unfit for prevention 

Quicker action “would have helped to prevent the global health, social, and economic catastrophe that continues its grip”, the panel noted, adding that “the system as it stands now is clearly unfit to prevent another novel and highly infectious pathogen, which could emerge at any time, from developing into a pandemic”. 

Among its recommendations – and after highlighting how the coronavirus crisis continues to devastate communities – the panel urged Heads of State to take the lead in supporting proven public health measures to curb the pandemic and implement reforms “to prevent a future outbreak” from spreading globally. 

One billion dose call 

The panel also advised high-income countries with adequate vaccine supply to commit to provide “at least one billion” doses to the 92 low and middle-income countries in the UN-led equitable vaccine scheme, COVAX, by September 2021. 

Major vaccine-producing countries and manufacturers should agree to share intellectual property rights on their jabs, it said, guided by the UN health agency and the World Trade Organization (WTO). 

“If actions on this don’t occur within three months, a waiver of intellectual property rights under the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights should come into force immediately”, the panel insisted. 

Turning to the world’s wealthiest countries, known as the G7, the panel of leading experts recommended that they should “immediately” stump up 60 per cent of the $19 billion required for the Access to COVID-19 Tools Accelerator for vaccines, diagnostics, therapeutics, and strengthening of health systems. 

Summit call 

Heads of Government should commit to these reforms at a global summit, the panel continued, by adopting a political declaration under the auspices of the UN General Assembly. 

Describing its recommendations as potentially “transformative”, the panel highlighted that those least capable of withstanding the pandemic’s myriad shocks had been the worst affected.  

“Up to 125 million more people are estimated to have been pushed into extreme poverty, while 72 million more primary school-age children are now at risk of being unable to read or understand a simple text because of school closures,” the experts maintained.  

Women have also borne a disproportionate burden, they continued, with gender-based violence at record levels and child marriages on the increase.  

Underscoring the economic shock of the past pandemic year, the experts also noted that the world “lost $7 trillion” in economic output – more than the 2019 GDP of the entire African continent ($6.7 trillion)”. 

Latest toll 

According to WHO there have been more than 159 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally, including over 3.3 million deaths since the pandemic began. In its weekly epidemiological update, the UN health agency noted that some 1.2 billion vaccine doses have been administered. 

The number of new COVID-19 cases and deaths globally has slightly decreased in the past week, with over 5.5 million cases and over 90,000 deaths.  

But “case and death incidences…remain at the highest levels since the beginning of the pandemic”, the WHO bulletin cautioned. New weekly cases decreased in Europe and the Eastern Mediterranean, while the South-East Asia Region continued its upward trajectory, reporting a further six per cent increase on the previous seven-day period.

Inflation Worries May Lead To Continued Weakness On Wall Street
Inflation Worries May Lead To Continued Weakness On Wall Street

The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a lower open on Wednesday, with stocks likely to extend the downward move seen over the two previous sessions.

Concerns about the accelerating pace of inflation may continue to weigh on Wall Street following the release of the Labor Department’s report on consumer prices in the month of April.

The Labor Department said its consumer price index climbed by 0.8 percent in April after rising by 0.6 percent in March. Economists had expected consumer prices to inch up by 0.2 percent.

Excluding food and energy prices, core consumer prices also advanced by 0.9 percent in April following a 0.3 percent uptick in March. Core prices were expected to rise by another 0.3 percent.

With the much bigger than expected monthly increase, consumer prices in April were up by 4.2 percent compared to the same month a year ago, reflecting the biggest jump since September of 2008.

Core consumer prices also surged up by 3.0 percent year-over-year, marking the biggest annual increase since January of 1996.

The significantly faster price growth is likely to raise concerns about the outlook for monetary policy even though the Federal Reserve has repeatedly downplayed the risks of inflation.

The Fed has indicated that it won’t begin tightening monetary policy until inflation is moderately above its 2 percent target for “some time.”

Stocks moved mostly lower during trading on Tuesday, extending the pullback seen over the course of Monday’s session. The Nasdaq hit its worst intraday level in well over a month in early trading but rebounded to end the day only modestly lower.

After plunging as much as 2.2 percent, the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed down just 12.43 points or 0.1 percent at 13,389.43. Meanwhile, the Dow tumbled 473.66 points or 1.4 percent to 34,269.16 and the S&P 500 slid 36.33 points or 0.9 percent to 4,152.10.

The weakness on Wall Street partly reflected concerns about an acceleration in the rate of inflation and potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.

The Fed has attributed the increase in inflation to “transitory factors,” although analysts have suggested the central bank will still begin considering tapering its asset purchases in the coming months.

Adding to the inflation concerns, the Labor Department released a report showing the number of job openings reached a series high of 8.1 million on the last business day of March.

The data led to worries that employers will have to raise wages to entice workers, which could carry over into higher inflation.

The inflation concerns contributed to an early sell-off by tech stocks, although selling pressure waned over the course of the session.

Tech giant Apple (AAPL) tumbled as much as 3.2 percent in early trading to hit its lowest intraday level in over a month before regaining ground and ending the day down by 0.7 percent.

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) slumped by 1.9 percent after a report from Reuters said the electric car maker has halted plans to buy land to expand its Shanghai plant and make it a global export hub.

Housing stocks turned in some of the worst performances on the day, with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index plunging by 3.2 percent after ending the previous session at its best closing level since a two-for-one split in early 2006.

Substantial weakness was also visible among oil stocks, as reflected by the 2.4 percent slump by the NYSE Arca Oil Index. The index extended the pullback seen after it reached a one-year intraday high in early trading on Monday.

The weakness among oil stocks came even though the price of crude oil turned higher over the course of the session after an early drop.

Computer hardware stocks also showed a significant move to the downside, dragging the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index down by 2.4 percent to its lowest closing level in over a month.

Transportation, banking and commercial real estate stocks also saw notable weakness, while steel and gold stocks bucked the downtrend.

Commodity, Currency Markets

Crude oil futures are climbing $0.67 to $65.95 a barrel after rising $0.36 to $65.28 a barrel on Tuesday. Meanwhile, an ounce of gold is trading at $1,828.50, down $7.60 compared to the previous session’s close of $1,836.10. On Tuesday, gold edged down $1.50.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 109.11 yen compared to the 108.62 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Tuesday. Against the euro, the dollar is trading at $1.2109 compared to yesterday’s $1.2148.

Asia

An extended sell-off amid rising inflation expectations and valuation concerns saw Asian stocks hitting their lowest in seven weeks on Wednesday. A cautious undertone prevailed as investors awaited U.S. consumer inflation data due out later in the day for direction.

Chinese shares rose as the U.S. agreed to remove Xiaomi from a blacklist that would have barred Americans from investing in the Chinese smartphone maker.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index climbed 20.91 points, or 0.6 percent, to 3,462.75, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced 217.23 points, or 0.8 percent, to 28,231.04.

Japanese stocks fell sharply to extend losses from the previous session as investors fretted over the accelerating daily coronavirus infection rates caused by highly contagious variants of the virus. According to the Health Ministry, the number of COVID-19 patients with severe symptoms in Japan rose to a record 1,176.

The Nikkei 225 Index tumbled 461.08 points, or 1.6 percent, to 28,147.51, while the broader Topix ended 1.5 percent lower at 1,877.95.

Market heavyweight SoftBank Group plunged 3.5 percent, while automaker Toyota Motor climbed 2.2 percent after more than doubling its fourth quarter net profit.

Nissan Motor plummeted more than 10 percent. The company said it expects to break even this business year, defying expectations for a return to profitability.

Australian markets fell for a second straight day despite the government unveiling a big spending budget to spur the country’s rebounding economy.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 52.10 points, or 0.7 percent, to 7,044.90, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended down 50.50 points, or 0.7 percent, at 7,281.10.

Commonwealth Bank rose over 1 percent after the lender reported third quarter cash profits that doubled from last year to A$2.4 billion. The other three big banks ended down between 0.6 percent and 1.2 percent.

Mining heavyweights BHP and Rio Tinto posted modest losses, while smaller rival Fortescue Metals Group advanced 1.4 percent. Tech shares saw modest gains, with Xero rising 2.3 percent.

Trading in shares of Carsales.Com was halted after the vehicle classifieds site confirmed it is raising $600 million to fund the purchase of a 49 percent stake in U.S. branded marketplace platform Trader Interactive.

CSR surged 4.2 percent after the building materials firm reinstated a final dividend of 14.5 cents and said it will also pay a special 9.5-cent dividend.

In economic news, the total number of building permits issued in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 17.4 percent sequentially in March, official data showed. That matched expectations following the 20.1 percent jump in February.

Seoul stocks tumbled as foreign investors dumped local shares on growing worries over inflation and possibly earlier rate hikes. The benchmark Kospi slumped 47.77 points, or 1.5 percent, to 3,161.66.

Chemical maker LG Chem led losses to end 5.3 percent lower and pharmaceutical firm Celltrion gave up 3 percent, while market heavyweight Samsung Electronics declined 1.5 percent and No. 2 chipmaker SK Hynix lost 2.9 percent.

Investors ignored data showing that unemployment in South Korea dropped to an eight-month low in April. The number of people employed also rose at the fastest pace in nearly seven years, suggesting that the economy is well on the road to recovery.

Europe

European stocks are mostly higher on Wednesday, with encouraging earnings and hopes for a strong economic recovery offering some support.

While the French CAC 40 Index is just above the unchanged line, the German DAX Index is up by 0.4 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.7 percent.

U.K. gross domestic product shrank 1.5 percent sequentially in the first quarter, reversing a 1.3 percent rise in the fourth quarter, the Office for National Statistics reported. Economists had forecast a sequential drop of 1.6 percent.

GDP grew 2.1 percent month-on-month in March as schools and some part of the economy reopened through the month.

Spirits maker Diageo has moved sharply higher. The company restarted its capital return program and said that it expects to report organic operating growth of at least 14 percent in fiscal 2021.

UDG Healthcare shares have also soared. The pharmaceuticals services company has agreed to a 2.61 billion-pound ($3.69 billion) takeover by Clayton, Dubilier & Rice.

EDF Group shares have also advanced. The French power group confirmed its full-year guidance after sales rose in the first quarter.

German lender Commerzbank has also surged higher after it swung to a first quarter profit, beating expectations.

SGL Carbon has also rallied. The carbon and graphite product manufacturing company confirmed guidance for the full year 2021, with sales revenue to be EUR 920 million to EUR 970 million.

Deutsche Telekom has also risen. The telecommunications company raised its profit guidance for 2021 after a strong showing by its businesses in the United States and Europe in the first quarter.

Bayer has also jumped. The pharmaceutical and chemical conglomerate backed its outlook for the year after reporting an increase in quarterly net profit.

Meanwhile, Just Eat Takeaway.com NV has tumbled after rival food delivery firm Delivery Hero SE announced plans to re-enter its home market of Germany next month.

U.S. Economic Reports

Partly reflecting a spike in prices for used cars and trucks, the Labor Department released a report on Wednesday showing U.S. consumer prices increased by much more than expected in the month of April.

The Labor Department said its consumer price index climbed by 0.8 percent in April after rising by 0.6 percent in March. Economists had expected consumer prices to inch up by 0.2 percent.

Excluding food and energy prices, core consumer prices also advanced by 0.9 percent in April following a 0.3 percent uptick in March. Core prices were expected to rise by another 0.3 percent.

At 9 am ET, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to discuss the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy before a virtual National Association for Business Economics global symposium.

The Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its report on oil inventories in the week ended May 7th at 10:30 am ET.

Crude oil inventories are expected decrease by 2.3 million barrels after slumping by 8.0 million barrels in the previous week.

At 1 pm ET, the Treasury Department is due to announce the results of this month’s auction of $41 billion worth of ten-year notes.

Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank Raphael Bostic is also scheduled to speak on the economic outlook and monetary policy in a virtual moderated conversation hosted by the Council on Foreign Relations at 1 pm ET.

At 1:30 pm ET, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker is due to speak before a virtual Institutions of Higher Education: Financial Viability and COVID-19 event.

Stocks In Focus

Shares of FuboTV (FUBO) are soaring in pre-market trading after the sports TV streaming platform reported record first quarter revenues and raised its full-year guidance.

Fast food chain Wendy’s (WEN) is also likely to see initial strength after reporting better than expected first quarter results and boosting its full-year earnings forecast.

On the other hand, shares of Lemonade (LMND) are seeing notable pre-market weakness after the online insurance company reported a wider than expected first quarter loss and provided disappointing revenue guidance for the current quarter.

Battery technology company QuantumScape (QS) may also move to the downside after reporting a wider than expected first quarter loss.

For comments and feedback contact: editorial@rttnews.com

European Shares Rise After Earnings Beat
European Shares Rise After Earnings Beat

European stocks were mostly higher on Wednesday, with encouraging earnings and hopes for a strong economic recovery offering some support.

Caution prevailed as investors awaited U.S. inflation data due later in the day for clues on monetary policy going forward.

The pan European Stoxx 600 inched up 0.3 percent to 437.89 after tumbling 2 percent on Tuesday.

The German DAX edged up 0.1 percent and France’s CAC 40 index was marginally higher while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 was up 0.7 percent after the release of GDP figures.

U.K. gross domestic product shrank 1.5 percent sequentially in the first quarter, reversing a 1.3 percent rise in the fourth quarter, the Office for National Statistics reported. Economists had forecast a sequential drop of 1.6 percent.

GDP grew 2.1 percent month-on-month in March as schools and some part of the economy reopened through the month.

Spirits maker Diageo rallied 3 percent. The company restarted its capital return program and said that it expects to report organic operating growth of at least 14 percent in fiscal 2021.

UDG Healthcare shares soared 21 percent. The pharmaceuticals services company has agreed to a 2.61 billion-pound ($3.69 billion) takeover by Clayton, Dubilier & Rice.

Just Eat Takeaway.com NV tumbled 3.7 percent after rival food delivery firm Delivery Hero SE announced plans to re-enter its home market of Germany next month.

EDF Group shares climbed 2.6 percent. The French power group confirmed its full-year guidance after sales rose in the first quarter.

German lender Commerzbank surged 6.3 percent after it swung to a first quarter profit, beating expectations.

SGL Carbon rallied 3.2 percent. The carbon and graphite product manufacturing company confirmed guidance for the full year 2021, with sales revenue to be EUR 920 million to EUR 970 million.

Utility RWE advanced 1.5 percent after backing its 2021 view.

Deutsche Telekom rose about 2 percent. The telecommunications company raised its profit guidance for 2021 after a strong showing by its businesses in the United States and Europe in the first quarter.

Bayer jumped 4 percent. The pharmaceutical and chemical conglomerate backed its outlook for the year after reporting a rise in quarterly net profit.

For comments and feedback contact: editorial@rttnews.com

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